Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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937
FNUS71 KRLX 190740
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for Beury Mountain Fire...NPS
National Weather Service Charleston WV
340 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on September 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and storms will be possible this afternoon with breaks in
the cloud coverage allowing temperatures to climb above seasonable
just as yesterday. Dense fog or abundant low clouds may develop
this morning and once again on Friday morning.

Drier, quiet and warmer weather returns Friday, and will continue
through the weekend with a ridge of high pressure taking control.
Relative humidity percentages will once again fall into the 20s and
30s starting Friday, and lasting through the weekend. Recovery looks
possible next week starting Monday with chances for precipitation
returning courtesy of some disturbances and a strong, midweek cold
front.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Areas of fog
                    early in the morning. Slight chance of showers
                    late in the morning. Chance of showers late in
                    the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
                    morning, then increasing to 30 percent late in
                    the morning increasing to 40 percent early in
                    the afternoon decreasing to 30 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 2 mph shifting to the west
                    around 3 mph early in the afternoon, then
                    shifting to the northwest around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
LVORI...............7.
ADI.................2 to 24.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  49  61  56  51  47  44  42  40  36  33  29
Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10  10  20  20  30  30  30  40  30  30  30
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  20  20  30  30  30  40  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............61  62  62  63  66  69  72  73  73  74  73  73
RH..............100 98  100 100 93  88  77  73  70  68  69  69
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   W   NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.7   7   6   6   5   4   4   5   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.7 3.5 4.0 4.5 4.7 4.5 4.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5
LVORI...........10  10  10  9   6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............2   2   2   3   5   8   10  17  18  19  24  23
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Patchy fog late in the evening.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent early in
                    the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2000, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the southeast 2
                    to 3 mph late in the evening.
LVORI...............7.
ADI.................1 to 2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........26     19     18     15     10     16
Weather cov.....S CHC                PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG    FOG
Tstm cov........S CHC
CWR.............20     10     0      0      10     10
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     0      0      10     10
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............72     65     62     61     59     58
RH..............71     89     100    100    100    100
20 ft wind......N 3    NE 2   E 1    E 2    SE 2   SE 2
20 ft wind gust.6      5      4      5      6      5
Mix hgt (ft)....3200   500    600    600    600    600
Transport wind..N 3    NE 2   E 2    SE 2   SE 3   SE 3
LVORI...........3      7      10     10     10     10
ADI.............2      1      1      1      2      2
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 3 mph shifting to the northwest 1 to
                    2 mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 to 14.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17  15  13  13  13  18  15  21  26  25  23  21
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............58  57  59  63  68  71  73  75  76  77  78  77
RH..............100 100 100 98  86  77  68  60  55  52  50  49
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   1   1   2   2   2   2   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.7 3.0 4.0 4.7 4.9 5.1 5.0 4.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
LVORI...........9   10  10  9   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............4   2   2   3   5   8   11  13  13  14  7   6
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...JZ
Requested by...Tom Fielden
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422699.0/RLX
.DELDT 09/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas_fielden@nps.gov