Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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FNUS71 KRLX 291514
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for Tolliver...Virginia Department of Forestry
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1114 AM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 EDT on March 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm weather can be expected this weekend, both during
the daytime and at night. While there is a small chance for a shower
today, most locations will remain dry.

The relative humidity could bottom out in the lower 30s later
this afternoon. 20-foot southwest winds will generally be under 10
mph, but could occasionally gust to around 15 mph.

A better chance for showers comes late tonight, as southerly winds
bring moisture across the region.

Showers and thunderstorms will affect the area at times Sunday into
Monday, ahead of the next cold front. Thunderstorms late Sunday,
Sunday night or Monday could be strong to severe.

Winds will be a bit stronger on Sunday compared with today, but,
with the better chance for rain, the minimum relative humidity
will be higher.

Drier and cooler weather takes hold for Tuesday as high pressure
builds back in. More active weather is likely to take hold of the
region by mid week with more severe potential.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Isolated
                    sprinkles late in the afternoon. Isolated
                    showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................6 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...11 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 13 mph.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................34 early in the morning increasing to 95 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........88  81  80  76  84  85  89
Weather cov.....                    ISO ISO
Weather type....                    RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  20
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............66  69  71  74  74  74  74
RH..............48  45  42  39  37  36  34
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.12  13  13  14  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 4.1 5.3 6.5 7.0 7.5 6.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   10  10  12  13  13  13
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............34  51  62  82  95  62  58

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the evening. Slight
                    chance of rain showers after 3 am, then chance
                    of rain showers after 3 am.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 23 percent early in
                    the morning.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of thunder...11 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 to 7.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........88  91  94  93  77  77  88  86  84  90  92  91
Weather cov.....SCH SCH                             SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW                              RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  30  40
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............73  70  66  64  63  61  60  60  60  59  59  58
RH..............37  42  50  57  62  69  70  73  72  76  76  78
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.13  11  11  11  11  11  11  12  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...5.3 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  8   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
ADI.............7   5   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    through the day. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................36 percent increasing to 51 percent early in
                    the morning, then increasing to 70 percent late
                    in the morning decreasing to 61 percent late in
                    the morning increasing to 74 percent.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Chance of thunder...24 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8 to 20.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89  89  84  78  78  77  82  79  76  78  79  81
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............30  40  50  60  70  60  60  60  70  70  70  70
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  60  70  80  70  70  70  70  80  80  80
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20  20
Temp............58  58  57  59  61  63  66  68  69  70  70  69
RH..............78  78  84  84  82  77  71  66  63  62  63  65
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.13  13  14  14  16  17  17  17  17  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
LVORI...........4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   3
ADI.............8   8   8   10  12  15  17  20  20  19  19  19

$$
Forecaster...TRM
Requested by...Logan McGlothlin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2508395.0/RLX
.DELDT 03/29/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL logan.mcglothlin@dof.virginia.gov