Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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Spot Forecast for Marlinton Pile Burn...Monongahela N.F.
National Weather Service Charleston WV
145 PM EST Tue Jan 28 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on January 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Wednesday morning will start with sunny skies and breezy winds out
of the west at 10-12 mph, with occasional gusts around 30 mph. Breezy
conditions will continue through the remainder of the day, gradually
diminishing after sunset Wednesday. Expect a 10-15 percent chance of
light snow showers or flurries from 1 PM to 5 PM. Any snow shower that
occurs would be brief.

At 9 AM, expect RH values around 70 percent, dropping to a minimum of
around 50 percent by 3 PM. RH will then rebound to around 70 percent
by 8 PM. Mixing heights will be around 2,000 feet AGL at 9 AM, increasing
to 3,500 feet by Wednesday afternoon.

Dry weather should continue through much of Thursday, then widespread rain
will approach from the southwest Thursday night through Friday.


.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly to Mostly Sunny (20-40 percent).
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of pcpn......15 percent.
LAL.................
Max temperature.....Around 41.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to around 30
                    mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 18 mph.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................33 to 64.
Haines Index........MISSING.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   6   8   6   25  40  40  40  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   15  15  15  15  10
LAL.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Temp............34  37  39  41  41  41  41  39  37
RH..............72  68  63  59  57  55  53  57  61
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..9   10  12  12  10  10  10  10  8
20 FT wind gust.30  31  31  31  30  30  30  29  28
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.4 2.7
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.13  14  15  16  17  18  18  18  16
LVORI...........3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............33  41  34  38  57  64  64  63  49
Haines index....M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................
Min temperature.....Around 21.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph with gusts to around
                    28 mph in the evening and overnight becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 13 mph decreasing to around 3
                    mph after 3 am.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 to 8.
Haines Index........MISSING.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........15  18  21  24  27  26  25  24  21  17  14  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Temp............34  33  32  31  29  29  28  27  26  25  24  23
RH..............66  69  71  72  72  72  71  71  72  72  74  73
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   7   7   7   7   6   5   5   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.26  26  26  28  26  26  25  23  20  18  14  12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.13  9   8   8   8   7   7   6   5   5   3   3
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............8   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
Haines index....M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................
Max temperature.....Around 45.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 2 mph shifting to the southwest 2
                    to 3 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 9.
Haines Index........MISSING.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  8   10  12  14  20  26  32  32  31  31  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
LAL.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Temp............22  22  25  29  33  37  40  44  44  45  45  42
RH..............73  76  67  60  55  48  42  38  39  41  42  48
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  7   6   6   6   7   7   8   10  10  11  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............3   3   3   4   5   5   9   9   8   8   7   6
Haines index....M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...28
Requested by...Colleen Urffer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501384.0/RLX
.DELDT 01/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL colleen.urffer@usda.gov