992
FNUS71 KRLX 072042
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for Highland Fire...WV-NRP
National Weather Service Charleston WV
342 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EST on November 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Drier conditions will gradually take hold across the area this
evening, as a cold front slowly sags south across the area,
eventually exiting to the east of the mountains later tonight. It
will be a rather gloomy night however, with areas of fog or low
clouds hanging around for much of the night.

High pressure will then build into the region Friday through
Saturday with a return to dry conditions, before the next system
brings a wet finish to the weekend on Sunday. Another system is then
due around the middle of next week.

Temperatures will continue above normal, but not the unseasonable
record or near-record warmth we have experienced recently.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Slight chance of drizzle early
                    in the morning.
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 2 to 8 mph.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 to 25.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........85  83  76  82  73  57  32  29  21  24  19  24
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....DZF DZF
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............53  53  54  56  57  58  59  60  60  61  59  57
RH..............99  97  93  88  85  74  67  59  54  51  50  55
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   5   5   7   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   8   10  10  11  12  12  12  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.2 0.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.2   2   3   5   6   7   8   8   8   7   7   7
LVORI...........10  8   6   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   3
ADI.............2   2   5   6   10  13  23  25  24  21  19  7
Haines index....4   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 2 to 6 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 2 mph after 3 am.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 to 3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........30     23     13     15     18     23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............53     49     47     45     43     42
RH..............62     70     71     74     76     79
20 ft wind......NW 5   NW 3   NW 3   N 2    N 2    NE 1
20 ft wind gust.10     8      8      7      6      5
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..NW 6   NW 6   NW 5   N 3    N 2    NE 2
LVORI...........3      3      3      3      4      4
ADI.............3      3      2      2      1      1
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to
                    9 mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 to 19.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20  19  22  24  27  29  32  34  36  38  40  46
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............39  40  42  46  50  53  56  58  59  59  58  56
RH..............84  84  79  71  62  54  46  41  40  40  42  44
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   3   5   5   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   7   8   10  10  11  11  12  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.2   2   3   3   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   9
LVORI...........5   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............2   2   4   4   8   12  14  18  18  19  16  15
Haines index....5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...ARJ
Requested by...Tom Fielden
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2426054.0/RLX
.DELDT 11/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas_fielden@nps.gov,Michelle_Q_Faherty@nps.gov