Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV
193
FNUS71 KRLX 180838
FWSRLX
Spot Forecast for Beury Mountain Fire...NPS
National Weather Service Charleston WV
438 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on September 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Abundant cloudiness and few light rain showers, associated with a
weakening low pressure system, will affect the area over the next
several days. The highest chance of showers will be along and east
of the mountains. The highest chance of showers will be along and
east of the mountains. Rainfall amounts are expected to be light,
but the fire threat will remain low through Thursday due to
increased clouds and moisture over the area.
Dry, warmer weather returns Friday, and will continue through the
weekend. Relative humidity percentages will once again fall into the
20s and 30s starting Friday, and lasting through the weekend, before
climbing during the early portion of the next work week, with the
chance for rain returning ahead of a disturbance.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
showers in the morning, then chance of showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
morning, then increasing to 30 percent early in
the afternoon decreasing to 20 percent late in
the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 6 mph.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................5 to 12.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........43 50 57 60 62 65 67 69 72 67 63 59
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10 10 10 10 20 20 20 30 30 30 20 20
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 20 30 30 30 20 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
Temp............63 62 61 64 66 68 70 71 72 73 72 72
RH..............95 95 99 91 88 82 75 75 73 70 76 76
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3
20 FT wind gust.11 10 10 10 10 10 8 6 6 5 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.8
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE
Transp wind spd.6 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........7 7 9 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 4 4
ADI.............6 5 5 7 8 9 12 10 9 9 8 8
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the evening. Slight chance of showers
overnight.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 30 percent early in
the evening, then decreasing to 20 percent late
in the evening decreasing to 10 percent late in
the evening increasing to 20 percent decreasing
to 10 percent after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2100, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph
overnight, then becoming light after 3 am.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast 3 to
7 mph overnight.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 to 3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........60 62 35 25 31 33
Weather cov.....S CHC CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC S CHC
CWR.............20 30 20 20 20 10
Chc of pcpn (%).20 30 20 20 20 10
LAL.............2 2 1 1 1 1
Temp............71 67 65 64 63 62
RH..............77 91 94 94 96 95
20 ft wind......NE 2 SE 2 SE 3 SE 5 SE 6 SE 3
20 ft wind gust.6 6 8 10 10 6
Mix hgt (ft)....1300 600 600 600 600 600
Transport wind..E 3 SE 3 SE 5 SE 6 SE 7 SE 5
LVORI...........4 7 7 6 8 8
ADI.............2 2 2 3 3 2
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
showers in the morning, then chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 50 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 1 to 2 mph shifting to the north around 3
mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............7.
ADI.................1 to 11.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42 50 59 68 68 68 61 58 54 59 63 68
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH CHC SCH
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 40 50 50
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 40 50 50
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
Temp............61 61 60 62 65 67 69 71 71 72 72 72
RH..............95 96 100 99 96 89 81 77 76 73 71 70
20 FT wind dir..E E E SE SE SE E N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2
20 FT wind gust.5 4 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.4 2.7 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.2
Transp wind dir.E E E E SE SE E N N N N N
Transp wind spd.2 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........8 9 10 10 8 6 4 4 4 3 3 3
ADI.............2 1 1 1 4 5 6 10 11 10 10 10
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
$$
Forecaster...JZ
Requested by...Tom Fielden
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422657.0/RLX
.DELDT 09/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas_fielden@nps.gov