Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV
165 FXUS61 KRLX 031713 AFDRLX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 113 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... 111 PM...Updated 18Z aviation discussion. No significant changes from previous forecast. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Dry weather continues this week. The next chance of rain will arrive late in the weekend, but details regarding timing and rainfall amounts are uncertain. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1... High pressure remains overhead this week, leading to numerous days of dry and sunny weather. Temperatures will gradually climb over the next few days, reaching the upper 80s for highs by Friday and Saturday. With high pressure remaining over the middle Ohio Valley and Appalachians through the next several days, fog development will remain possible each morning. Clear skies and calm winds will allow for this patchy fog to develop along the river valleys. Models are coming into better agreement about a cold front approaching Sunday, which will bring renewed shower and thunderstorm chances across the area. However, the exact coverage of showers and thunderstorms, expected rainfall amounts, and timing are all uncertain at the moment. Some models suggest that showers and thunderstorm chances may continue into Monday, while others show dry weather returning amid high pressure. && .AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... VFR conditions are expected the rest of today. Patchy valley fog will develop overnight in the river valleys, potentially causing IFR restrictions at CRW and EKN between 09Z and 12Z Thursday, before improving. Expect light northerly winds today, turning calm overnight. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Fog early Thursday morning might be more widespread than anticipated. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. UTC 1HRLY 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 EDT 1HRLY 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H AFTER 18Z THURSDAY... IFR conditions in valley fog each morning through the balance of the week, as high pressure dominates. && .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...26 AVIATION...26