Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV
880 FXUS61 KRLX 020830 AFDRLX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 430 AM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... 12Z aviation discussion issued... No significant changes from previous forecast. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Isolated showers and storms today. Drier and warmer weather mid to late week. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1... Overall synoptic pattern features an upper trough across the eastern U.S., which will sag south across the area, generating isolated to scattered showers and storms today, mainly during the afternoon hours. Bulk of activity should generally be across the eastern third of the CWA. Severe is not anticipated, and anything that is able to develop will be relatively slow to move under weak flow. Otherwise, ridge to our west will gradually nudge into the area for Wednesday and Thursday. This will set up a period of dry and gradually warmer conditions, with river valley fog possible in the mornings. Temperatures by Friday should generally top out in the mid to upper 80s across much of the lowlands. Upper ridge will start to break down by the weekend with the approach of a system and associated frontal boundary. This will bring a return of unsettled weather to the region. && .AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Patchy MVFR/IFR valley fog in deeper valleys, will dissipate shortly after 12Z Tuesday, when a return to mainly VFR with light surface winds is anticipated. However, this afternoon, particularly after 15 to 18Z, isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected to develop, mainly east of the Ohio River. This will provide the potential for brief MVFR or IFR restrictions in vicinity of storms. Convection will largely dissipate by or shortly after 00Z Wednesday, with patchy IFR or worse valley fog developing, and in areas that receive rain on Tuesday. Fog will generally develop after 06-08Z Wednesday. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Extent and duration of fog early Wednesday morning may vary from the forecast. Convection Tuesday afternoon may be more widespread than currently anticipated. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. DATE TUE 06/02/26 UTC 1HRLY 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 EDT 1HRLY 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H L L L L M H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H AFTER 06Z WEDNESDAY... IFR conditions becoming more likely in valley fog each morning during the middle and latter portion of this week, as high pressure becomes more dominant. && .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...SL AVIATION...SL