Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV
986 FXUS61 KRLX 032341 AFDRLX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 741 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... 740 PM Update... Aviation Forecast Discussion update. No significant changes from previous forecast. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Dry weather continues this week. The next chance of rain will arrive late in the weekend, but details regarding timing and rainfall amounts are uncertain. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1... High pressure remains overhead this week, leading to numerous days of dry and sunny weather. Temperatures will gradually climb over the next few days, reaching the upper 80s for highs by Friday and Saturday. With high pressure remaining over the middle Ohio Valley and Appalachians through the next several days, fog development will remain possible each morning. Clear skies and calm winds will allow for this patchy fog to develop along the river valleys. Models are coming into better agreement about a cold front approaching Sunday, which will bring renewed shower and thunderstorm chances across the area. However, the exact coverage of showers and thunderstorms, expected rainfall amounts, and timing are all uncertain at the moment. Some models suggest that showers and thunderstorm chances may continue into Monday, while others show dry weather returning amid high pressure. && .AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Outside of patchy overnight valley fog, pleasant flight conditions continue to rule the roost amid influential high pressure. Fog development progged around 08/09Z will fester near CRW, CKB, and EKN Thursday morning before quickly eroding after daybreak. Calm winds tonight will become light out of the north by Thursday afternoon. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Fog early Thursday morning might be more widespread than anticipated. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. UTC 1HRLY 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 EDT 1HRLY 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H AFTER 00Z FRIDAY... IFR conditions in valley fog each morning through the balance of the week, as high pressure dominates. && .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...26 AVIATION...05