Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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793
FNUS75 KRIW 041201
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for COYOTE RUN...USDA
National Weather Service Riverton WY
601 AM MDT Fri Jul 4 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on July 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

Clouds will increase through the morning with widespread chances
(40 to 70%) for showers and thunderstorms developing by the early
afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will be periodic through the
afternoon with another round expected to arrive by the mid to
late evening hours. Chance for wetting rains will range from 10 to
30% across the area today. Lightning is expected to be quite
frequent with any thunderstorms that develop. Winds are expected
to be light and from the north/northwest to start the day. As
shower and thunderstorms begin to develop this afternoon
widespread outflow gusts are expected. These outflows will likely
be capable of producing winds of 40 to 50 mph at times. Winds
shift to the south/southwest late this evening becoming light.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 18 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...41 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1500, then northwest 7 to 8
                    mph with gusts to around 14 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL until 1000, then 3500 ft AGL until
                    1100, then 7000 ft AGL until 1500, then 5500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph until 0900, then light
                    until 1000, then northwest 8 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000. Fair early in the morning
                    increasing to good in the afternoon after 1200.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........60  50  45  40  40  35  40  50  55  55  55
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20  20  20
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  30  50  40  30
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  30  40  40  30
Temp............64  67  71  73  76  78  78  79  79  78  76
RH..............59  53  47  44  40  36  35  34  33  36  39
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  N   N   N   NE  N   NW  NW  W   N
20 FT wind spd..2   2   0   3   5   4   3   2   7   8   7
20 FT wind gust.            4   6   6   6   4   12  14  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.5 2.0 3.5 5.5 7.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 5.0 5.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   NW  N
Transp wind spd.7   7   5   8   10  12  10  16  14  15  14
SDspl kt-ft/10006   9   8   26  48  71  64  83  57  67  67

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    in the evening.
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...25 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL until 1900. 500 ft AGL after 2100.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 13 mph until 1900, then
                    northeast 7 to 13 mph until 2200, then
                    southwest 8 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good early in the evening decreasing to fair
                    late in the night until 2000. Poor after 2100.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........55  50  40  35  35  40  40  35  30  25  20  20
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).30  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).30  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  0   0   0
Temp............75  74  73  72  70  68  65  64  62  60  59  58
RH..............43  45  48  50  54  57  61  63  64  66  68  70
20 FT wind dir..N   N   E   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   1   6   6   6   5   6   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.10  10  8       10  8   10  7   10  7   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...6.0 4.0 2.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NE  E   N   W   SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  13  12  7   12  12  16  10  12  12  8   8
SDspl kt-ft/100065  46  25  7   9   8   8   6   8   7   5   4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon. Chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 14 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1300, then southwest 7 to 9
                    mph with gusts to around 14 mph until 1600,
                    then northwest around 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 14 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL until 1000. 11000 ft AGL after
                    1500.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 16 mph until 1400, then west 18
                    to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1500.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  10  5   5   5   10  10  25  35  50  40  30
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  40  40  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  30  30  30
Temp............57  61  65  70  74  78  81  82  82  82  82  82
RH..............72  70  61  53  46  39  33  30  28  28  27  27
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   NW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   4   4   5   6   6   7   8   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   6   7   10  11  13  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 4.0 6.5 9.0 9.5 11  11  11  10
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   12  9   12  13  14  14  16  20  22  21  18
SDspl kt-ft/10005   9   10  17  44  77  106 134 174 208 189 161

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 90. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 90s. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...Dziewaltowski
Requested by...TYRUS GARRETT
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517169.1/RIW
.DELDT 07/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL choffman@blm.gov,tyrus.garrett@usda.gov