


Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY
478 FNUS75 KRIW 140113 FWSRIW Spot Forecast for Pumpkin Creek WF...USFWS National Weather Service Riverton WY 713 PM MDT Wed Aug 13 2025 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 MDT on August 13. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service .DISCUSSION... Isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms continue to travel east across the north half of Wyoming Wednesday evening. A few of these may track across the fire site, with the best chance coming between 2000L and 2200L. Gusty and erratic outflow wind of 30 to 40 mph has been occurring with these showers and storms Wednesday evening. Thursday will again provide the chance for some late day and early evening showers and thunderstorms. Gusty outflow wind would again be the primary hazard. Surface wind does switch to the north and blow 10 to 15 mph from late Thursday morning into the early afternoon. ...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds... .REST OF TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) with isolated showers until 2300L. Becoming mostly clear late. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......20 percent until 2300L, then 10 percent or less. Chance of thunder...5 percent. Min temperature.....60 to 63. Max humidity........57 to 60 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North to northeast wind 7 to 11 mph until 2100L, then becoming southwest 6 to 9 mph by 2300L. Gusty and erratic wind gusts 30 to 40 mph possible with any showers, even those that produce little if any rain. Ridgetop wind.......North 10 to 15 mph until 2100L, then becoming south to southwest around 10 mph by 2300L. Mixing height.......Decreasing to less than 1000 ft AGL between 2100L and 2300L, then persisting through the night. Transport winds.....North around 12 mph until 2100L, then becoming south to southwest around 10 mph by 2300L. Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 2000L, then becoming Poor by 2300L. TIME (MDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........50 45 40 35 35 30 30 20 20 15 15 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ISO ISO ISO ISO CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............85 80 76 74 72 70 68 67 65 64 63 RH..............26 30 34 37 41 44 46 48 50 53 55 20 FT wind dir..NW SW S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..7 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 20 FT wind gust.12 10 8 7 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 Ridge wind dir..N E S S S S S S S S S Ridge wind spd..15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.NW N E SE S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.13 12 10 12 10 12 12 12 13 13 13 SDspl kt-ft/100041 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent) until 1400L, then becoming partly cloudy (30-40 percent) with isolated showers and thunderstorms by 1600L. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent until 1500L, then 15 percent. Chance of thunder...5 percent after 1600L. Max temperature.....91 to 94. Min humidity........16 to 19 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South-southwest 6 to 9 mph until 0700L, then becoming north 9 to 14 mph with occasional gusts to 18 mph between 0800L and 0900L. North wind decreasing to around 10 mph between 1200L and 1400L. Ridgetop wind.......Southwest around 10 mph until 0800L, then becoming north 11 to 16 mph by 0900L. Mixing height.......Less than 1000 ft AGL until 0800L, then gradually increasing to around 11000 ft AGL by 1400. Transport winds.....South around 10 mph until 0800L, then becoming north 12 to 16 mph by 0900L. Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900L, then gradually increasing to Very Good by 1400L. TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........10 10 15 10 10 10 10 5 5 10 10 25 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............63 65 69 74 79 82 85 87 89 89 92 91 RH..............58 60 49 40 33 29 26 22 21 19 18 18 20 FT wind dir..S S SW NW N N N N N N N N 20 FT wind spd..7 6 6 6 9 8 6 6 5 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.11 10 7 10 13 12 10 8 7 8 8 10 Ridge wind dir..S S SW NW N N N N N N N N Ridge wind spd..15 15 10 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 15 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.5 9.0 11 12 12 Transp wind dir.S SW W N N N NW NW W W W W Transp wind spd.14 13 12 13 16 15 13 12 14 14 14 13 SDspl kt-ft/10004 5 6 17 31 37 45 54 106 134 144 127 .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) with isolated showers and thunderstorms until 2100L. Then, becoming partly cloudy (30-40 percent) by 2300L. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......20 percent until 2100L, then becoming less than 10 percent by 2300L. Chance of thunder...15 percent. Min temperature.....60 to 63. Max humidity........58 to 61 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest wind around 7 mph until 1900L, then becoming southerly 6 to 9 mph by 2200L. Gusty and erratic wind expected near showers and thunderstorms in the evening. However, the strongest gusts are likely to come from the west or southwest. Ridgetop wind.......Northwest around 8 to 12 mph until 1900L, then becoming southerly 10 to 15 mph by 2000L. Wind decreasing to 6 to 9 mph between 2200L and 2400L midnight. Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL until 1900L, then gradually decreasing to less than 1000 ft AGL by 2300L. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph until 1900L, then becoming south to southwest 11 to 16 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Very Good until 1900L, then becoming gradually becoming Poor by 2300L. TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........35 80 80 80 75 60 40 40 35 30 35 35 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............90 86 82 78 75 73 71 69 67 65 63 62 RH..............18 22 27 31 37 41 43 46 49 52 55 58 20 FT wind dir..NW W S E E SE S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 20 FT wind gust.13 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Ridge wind dir..NW W S E E SE S S S S S S Ridge wind spd..15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...10 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.SW SW S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.14 14 16 15 20 16 13 13 12 12 12 13 SDspl kt-ft/1000119 33 17 7 12 9 6 5 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 1700L. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......10 percent after 1700L. Chance of thunder...10 percent after 1700L. Max temperature.....Around 92. Min humidity........16 to 19 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South-southwest wind 6 to 9 mph until 1000L, then becoming north to northeast 7 to 11 mph. Ridgetop wind.......Southwest around 10 mph until 1000L, then becoming north to northeast. Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL until 0800L, then gradually increasing to around 10000 ft AGL by 1400L. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph until 1000L, then becoming northerly by 1200L. Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000L, then gradually increasing to Very Good by 1400L. TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........40 35 25 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 35 35 Weather cov..... SCH Weather type.... RW Tstm cov........ SCH CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 Temp............62 65 69 73 77 81 84 86 88 89 90 90 RH..............58 54 48 41 36 31 27 23 21 19 18 17 20 FT wind dir..S SW SW SW W N N N N N N N 20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 12 12 11 Ridge wind dir..S SW SW SW W N N N N N N N Ridge wind spd..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 2.5 4.5 6.0 7.5 9.0 11 10 9.0 Transp wind dir.S SW SW SW W W W W W W W NW Transp wind spd.13 13 12 12 12 13 13 13 12 12 12 13 SDspl kt-ft/10004 7 8 11 27 49 67 84 92 107 100 102 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY NIGHT... A few showers and thunderstorms early, otherwise partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South wind around 10 mph. .SATURDAY... Partly cloudy with a slight chance of afternoon and early evening showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Lows in the lower 60s. South wind around 10 mph. .SUNDAY... Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Lows around 60. South wind around 10 mph. .MONDAY... Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 90s. Lows in the upper 50s. Light wind. $$ Forecaster...CNJ Requested by...Eric Mark Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2519861.0/RIW .DELDT 08/13/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL eric_mark@fws.gov