Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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912
FNUS75 KRIW 181112
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Kinky Creek...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Riverton WY
512 AM MDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on July 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...

Mainly dry weather is expected through around 16 to 18Z. Following
that, there will be another chance of showers and thunderstorms,
although storms will be more scattered than yesterday (around a 30
to 40 percent chance), with the best chance between 1300 and 1700.
The most likely rainfall amount would be around a tenth of an inch,
although any thunderstorm could drop up to a half an inch of rain
in a short amount of time. Wind should be largely light except in
and around any shower or thunderstorm. Smoke dispersal will likely
remain poor most of the day, although a period of fair smoke
dispersal will be possible between 1100 and 1400 today. Somewhat
drier air moves in for Sunday and Monday, with both days having
around a 10 percent chance for a shower or thunderstorm. A better
chance of showers and thunderstorms returns on Tuesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 34 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of thunder...43 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds until 1200, then northwest around
                    10 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL until 1000, rising to 5000 feet by
                    1100.
Transport winds.....Light winds until 0700. Northwest 7 to 8 mph
                    after 1100.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor, possibly becoming fair for a time between
                    1100 and 1400.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  60  55  45  35  50  60  75  60  60  60  60
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   30  30  30  30  30  30
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  30  40  40  30  40  30
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  30  40  40  30  40  30
Temp............45  46  56  61  67  70  71  72  73  71  70  69
RH..............89  86  66  67  56  50  47  43  43  44  46  47
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   0   1   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   2   5   6   7   8   8   10  8   8
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   NW
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 3.0 5.0 5.5 5.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.5
Transp wind dir.NW  W   W   W   NW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
SDspl kt-ft/10003   3   3   5   15  30  38  34  29  28  28  24

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly clear
                    (25-35 percent). Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms until 2000.
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest around 10 mph until 2200, then
                    southwest until 2300, then light.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL until 2000, then 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 8 mph until 2200, then east 7 to 8
                    mph until 0100, then south around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........55  55  45  45  50  45  25  15  10  10  10  15
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............66  66  63  59  57  56  55  55  54  52  51  51
RH..............49  48  55  64  70  73  73  70  73  78  81  82
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   N   W   SW  S   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
20 FT wind gust.8   6   6   6   6   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
Ridge wind dir..NW  W   N   W   SW  S   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   E   E   E   E   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/100024  18  5   4   4   4   4   3   4   3   3   3

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds until 1100, then northwest around
                    10 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL until 1000, rising to 9000 ft AGL
                    after 1200.
Transport winds.....Light winds until 1000, then west 7 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then becoming very good after
                    1200.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  15  15  10  10  20  20  25  20  25  15  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............50  52  57  62  69  72  74  76  77  76  75  74
RH..............82  79  68  55  45  38  33  29  27  27  28  29
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   N   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   0   1   3   4   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.4   2   2   2   6   8   10  11  12  13  13  13
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  S   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 4.5 6.0 8.0 9.0 9.5 9.5 9.5 10
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   5   7   8   9   13  14  12  15  13
SDspl kt-ft/10003   3   5   8   26  44  64  101 117 96  126 109

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows around 50.
Highs in the lower 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...Hattings
Requested by...Rylan Lynam
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2616984.10/RIW
.DELDT 07/18/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james.hynes@usda.gov,rylan.lynam@usda.gov