Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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382
FNUS75 KRIW 040201
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Elk Heart missing hiker...Sublette County SAR
National Weather Service Riverton WY
801 PM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MDT on July 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated rain showers will remain in the area tonight into Friday
morning. Rain chances increase by noon Friday as scattered rain
showers and thunderstorms develop. Most of the showers and storms
will end by 9 PM Friday. Temperatures will drop into the lower to
middle 40s tonight. Wind will be mostly light and variable tonight
into Friday morning, with increasing wind from the northwest
Friday afternoon. Stronger wind is possible with thunderstorms
Friday afternoon. An isolated rain shower or thunderstorm is
possible Saturday afternoon, but the chance of rain is only about
20%.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms through the
                    night.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...22 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Max apparent temp...54.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.

TIME (MDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........85  85  80  75  70  65  60  55  55  55
Weather cov.....ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  30  30  30  20  20  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............54  54  53  54  51  52  51  51  51  48
RH..............65  62  65  67  69  70  69  68  64  70
Wind chill (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  SW  W   N   N   N   NW  N   S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   3   3   5   5   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   7   6   5   5   4   4
Surface wnd dir.W   NW  SW  W   N   N   N   NW  N   S
Surface wnd spd.5   5   4   4   6   6   4   4   3   3
Surface wnd gst.9   8   7   7   9   8   6   6   5   5

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then numerous rain showers and
                    scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...53 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Max apparent temp...64.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds until 1200, then west 10 to 15 mph
                    with gusts to around 20 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 10 mph with gusts to around 16
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  45  40  30  35  40  45  50  60  65  60  55
Weather cov.....    ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT NUM SCT NUM SCT ISO
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  30  30  30  40  60  50  60  50  20
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  20  20  20  40  50  50  50  50  20
Temp............48  49  48  52  57  61  63  64  64  59  63  63
RH..............72  74  77  69  61  53  48  50  47  54  44  45
Wind chill (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   3   4   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   10  8
20 FT wind gust.4   5   6   7   10  11  13  14  14  14  16  14
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.3   4   5   6   8   8   9   10  11  11  13  10
Surface wnd gst.5   6   7   9   12  14  16  17  18  18  20  18

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Isolated
                    rain showers in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...17 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........56 percent.
Max apparent temp...61.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 18
                    mph until 2000, then light.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 to 10 mph with gusts to around
                    14 mph until 2000, then light. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the evening.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........45  50  45  35  25  25  25  25  25  25  20  15
Weather cov.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0
Temp............61  59  55  51  50  50  50  50  49  49  48  48
RH..............44  46  48  50  50  44  54  58  58  56  57  58
Wind chill (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.14  13  11  10  8   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   NW  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
Surface wnd spd.10  9   8   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Surface wnd gst.18  16  14  13  10  8   7   7   7   7   7   7

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...21 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Max apparent temp...60.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds until 1100, then southwest 10 to 15
                    mph with gusts to around 22 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1100, then southwest 7 to 12
                    mph with gusts to around 18 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  10  10  10  20  25  35  40  45  50  40  30
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............48  49  50  52  54  56  57  58  58  58  59  60
RH..............58  57  54  51  47  43  39  37  35  34  32  30
Wind chill (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..E   E   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.6   6   8   10  12  14  16  17  18  18  18  18
Surface wnd dir.E   E   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.4   4   5   6   8   9   10  11  13  13  13  13
Surface wnd gst.7   8   10  13  15  17  20  21  22  22  22  22

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...Rowe
Requested by...Dave Lankford
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2517271.0/RIW
.DELDT 07/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ttsarmission@gmail.com