Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 101121
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Spot Forecast for WEISER KNOLL...US Wildland Fire Service
National Weather Service Riverton WY
521 AM MDT Mon Aug 10 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Expect clear skies and light winds through the rest of the
morning. Clouds and winds will increase after 1200, with a 20-30%
chance for a virga shower/dry thunderstorm between 1400 and 1900.
Outflow wind gusts up to 55 mph will be possible from an shower or
storm. Wind gusts up to 25 mph will occur between 1400 and 1900
outside of any shower or storm. This, combined with RH values near
15%, will lead to Red Flag conditions. Skies will be partly cloudy
through the night tonight. Similar conditions return Tuesday, but
showers or thunderstorms are not expected.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Areas of smoke in the
                    morning, then smoke in the afternoon. Slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the afternoon. Slight chance of dry
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 7 mph until 0700, then light
                    until 1200, then west around 8 mph with gusts
                    to around 14 mph until 1300, then light. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph until 0800, then
                    southeast until 0900, then light until 1000,
                    then south 10 to 15 mph until 1200, then
                    southwest.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL until 1000, then 5000 ft AGL until
                    1100, then 10000 ft AGL until 1200, then 14500
                    ft AGL until 1400, then 15000 ft AGL until
                    1500, then 12000 ft AGL until 1700, then 9500
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 17 mph until 1200, then 17 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1100, then
                    excellent until 1700, then very good.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  20  20  5   10  15  30  25  35  40  45  45
Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS ARS PTY ARS ARS ARS ARS DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20  30  20  20
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20
Temp............67  67  70  74  78  82  84  85  86  86  86  85
RH..............35  33  31  27  23  20  19  18  17  16  16  16
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SE  E   SE  SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   5   3   1   4   6   8   6   5   3   3   6
20 FT wind gust.10  7   6   6   8   11  14  16  16  16  14  14
Ridge wind dir..W   SW  SE  E   SE  SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..15  10  10  5   10  15  15  15  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 5.0 10  13  15  15  12  11  9.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.14  10  8   8   10  17  20  21  21  20  18  17
SDspl kt-ft/10007   5   4   15  43  153 217 260 267 204 168 145

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Smoke in the
                    evening, then areas of smoke overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 13 mph until 0500, then
                    light.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL until 1900. 500 ft AGL after 2000.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 17 mph until 2000, then southwest 13
                    to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 1900. Poor after 2000.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........35  35  35  35  45  55  65  60  55  50  45  40
Weather cov.....DEF DEF ARS ARS PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY ARS ARS
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............85  82  79  77  76  75  74  73  73  72  71  70
RH..............18  20  23  26  27  28  28  29  30  31  30  29
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   9   11  12  13  13  12  11  10  9   8   6
20 FT wind gust.13  14  14  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  14  11
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...8.0 4.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.17  16  18  20  21  21  20  18  17  16  15  13
SDspl kt-ft/1000120 62  10  9   9   9   9   8   8   7   7   6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke
                    early in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1300, then northwest 7 to 9
                    mph with gusts to around 17 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......West around 10 mph until 1100, then northwest.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL until 0900. 15000 ft AGL after
                    1300.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 17 mph until 1600, then northwest 14
                    to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  50  25  15  20  30  25  15  15  25  25  35
Weather cov.....ARS
Weather type....SMK
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............69  67  70  73  79  81  83  85  87  87  88  87
RH..............29  25  24  20  17  15  14  11  11  10  10  10
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   5   3   4   5   6   8   8   9   8   7
20 FT wind gust.8   7   7   6   8   10  12  14  16  17  14  14
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 7.5 9.5 12  15  15  14  15  15
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  W
Transp wind spd.10  12  10  12  14  16  17  16  15  17  15  14
SDspl kt-ft/10005   7   7   36  93  132 176 207 185 200 195 174

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy with showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...LaVoie
Requested by...Shelby Bell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619324.1/RIW
.DELDT 08/10/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jellington@blm.gov,wycdc@firenet.gov,choffman@blm.gov