Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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611
FNUS75 KREV 231356
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Lakes Basin Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Reno NV
556 AM PST Sat Nov 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PST on November 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

* Snow showers and gusty southwesterly winds continue today.

* Snow is expected to taper off overnight, with winds
  also steadily decreasing into Sunday.

* Another system brings additional rounds of snow late Sunday
  through Tuesday, though less wind is expected with this
  storm.

.TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. 60% chance of snow showers.
Temperature.........34 at ignition...Max 34.
RH..................96% at ignition...Min 90%.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 23-33 mph with gusts to
                    around 50 mph decreasing to 17-22 mph
                    with gusts to around 35 mph early in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....90% decreasing to 40% in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......1400-1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 30-35 mph.
Ventilation.........Good.
Haines Index........2.

TIME (PST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM
Sky (%).........87     77     77     77
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............90     40     40     40
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............34     34     32     31
RH..............96     99     100    100
20 ft wind......SW 33  SW 22  SW 22  SW 20
20 ft wind gust.50     35     35     30
Mx ht msl (kft).1.5    1.7    1.7    1.7
Transport wind..SW 35  SW 35  SW 35  SW 30
Haines index....2      2      2      2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..45     52     52     46
Ventrate Cat....FAIR   FAIR   FAIR   FAIR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. 60% chance for snow in the evening,
                    decreasing to a 30% chance overnight.
Temperature.........Min 23.
RH..................Max 91%.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 16-21 mph with gusts to 30
                    mph late in the evening, decreasing to 15-20
                    mph after 3 am.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....65%.
Mixing Height.......900-1100 ft agl early in the evening.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 25-30 mph.
Ventilation.........Fair to poor.
Haines Index........2.

TIME (PST)      4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM
Sky (%).........82     82     84     80     80     80
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............70     70     70     60     60     60
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............30     29     30     29     29     30
RH..............90     90     91     89     86     84
20 ft wind......SW 15  SW 15  SW 18  SW 21  SW 21  SW 20
20 ft wind gust.25     25     30     30     30     30
Mx ht msl (kft).1.0    1.0    0.4    0.1    0.1    0.1
Transport wind..SW 30  SW 30  SW 25  SW 25  SW 25  SW 25
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2      2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..24     24     8      1      1      2
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. 30% chance of snow.
Temperature.........Max 24.
RH..................Min 80%.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 11-16 mph decreasing to 7-12
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....35% decreasing to 20% in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......200-500 ft agl then 1400-1900 ft agl in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Ventilation.........Poor to fair.
Haines Index........2.

TIME (PST)      4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM
Sky (%).........71     71     68     57     57     57
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............40     40     40     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............28     25     24     24     24     23
RH..............86     85     86     90     92     90
20 ft wind......SW 16  SW 16  SW 10  SW 9   SW 9   SW 12
20 ft wind gust.25     25     15     15     15     20
Mx ht msl (kft).0.1    0.1    0.9    1.4    1.4    1.9
Transport wind..SW 20  SW 20  SW 20  SW 20  SW 20  SW 20
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2      2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1      1      15     24     24     33
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

$$
Forecaster...Whitlam/Johnston
Requested by...Alex Teitelbaum
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427043.3/REV
.DELDT 11/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alexander.teitelbaum@usda.gov,wcretinon@blm.gov