979
FNUS75 KREV 142315
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Elephant Fire (PM Update)...USFS
National Weather Service Reno NV
415 PM PDT Tue Jul 14 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 PDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

* Shower and thunderstorm chances diminish this evening. Then, expect
  very good overnight recoveries with fog possible into early Wednesday.

* A warming and drying trend is expected through Friday with increased
  west to southwest breezes Thursday and Friday afternoons.

* Showers and thunderstorms may return over the weekend into early next
  week, but confidence is low.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........10-15% chance of showers before 1900 hours local.
                    Otherwise, partly cloudy.
Temperature.........Min 53-56.
RH..................Max 85-90%.
20-Foot Winds.......Downslope 2-6 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Chance of thunder...5%.
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl in the evening.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Ventilation.........Good to poor.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Patchy fog possible until 0800 hours local.
                    Otherwise, sunny with the inversion eroding after
                    1000 hours local.
Temperature.........Max 84-87.
RH..................Min 25-30%.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast 4-8 mph becoming southwest 7-12 mph with
                    gusts to 20 mph after 1300 hours local.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Chance of thunder...0%.
Mixing Height.......200-500 ft agl then 9900 ft agl in the afternoon.
Transport Winds.....Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Poor to excellent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Clear.
Temperature.........Min 54-57.
RH..................Max 60-65%.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest at 6-10 mph before 2000 hours local,
                    then southeast at 2-6 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Chance of thunder...0%.
Mixing Height.......200-500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10-15 mph.
Ventilation.........Good to poor.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny with the inversion eroding around 0800 hours
                    local.
Temperature.........Max 85-88.
RH..................Min 15-20%.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast 4-8 mph becoming southwest 10-15 mph with
                    gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Chance of thunder...0%.
Mixing Height.......200-500 ft agl then 9900 ft agl in the afternoon.
Transport Winds.....Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Poor to excellent.

$$
Forecaster...Salas
Requested by...Shawn McEvers
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617280.1/REV
.DELDT 07/14/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shawn_mcevers@firenet.gov