419
FNUS75 KREV 130835
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Baldwin Rx...USFS LTBMU
National Weather Service Reno NV
135 AM PDT Mon Oct 13 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PDT on October 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...
* Snow showers will be in the vicinity at the start of the forecast,
  with a 60% chance through the day on Monday.

* Chance of wetting rains will be 25-40% at the start of the day,
  climbing to near 65% chance for wetting rains by the afternoon.

* Temperatures tumble Monday night into Tuesday morning, bringing
  a mix of rain/snow showers that will eventually change over to snow.

.COLUMBUS DAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Snow showers likely late in the
                    morning, then showers likely early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers late in the
                    afternoon.
Temperature.........34-36 at ignition...Max 42-44.
RH..................86% at ignition...Min 78%.
20-Foot Winds.......Winds southwest at 10 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise southwest winds
                    7-10 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain....45% decreasing to 35% in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...5%.
Mixing Height.......3000-3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 30 mph.
Ventilation.........Very good to excellent.

TIME (PDT)      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
Sky (%).........73        73        67
Weather cov.....LIKELY    LIKELY    CHANCE
Weather type....SNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............50        40        40
Chc of thdr (%).0         0         10
Temp............36        36        39
RH..............86        100       88
20 FT wind......SW 10G30  SW 10G30  S 8G25
Mx ht msl (kft).3.1       3.7       3.9
Transport wind..SW 30     SW 30     S 30
Vrate kt-ft/1K..84        104       105
Ventrate Cat....VYGD      EXNT      EXNT

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Rain and snow likely early in the
                    evening, then rain late in the evening. Snow
                    overnight.
Temperature.........Min 29-31.
RH..................Max 95-100%.
20-Foot Winds.......Downslope 2-6 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain....75%.
Chance of thunder...5%.
Mixing Height.......1600-2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 30 mph decreasing to 10-15 mph in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Ventilation.........Very good to marginal.

TIME (PDT)      5 PM      8 PM      11 PM     2 AM
Sky (%).........73        84        94        94
Weather cov.....LIKELY    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSN      RAIN      SNOW      SNOW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............70        70        80        80
Chc of thdr (%).10        10        0         0
Temp............39        39        37        35
RH..............81        79        90        98
20 FT wind......S 6G15    S 5G15    SE 3G15   S 3G15
Mx ht msl (kft).3.6       2.2       1.5       1.6
Transport wind..S 30      S 15      SE 10     S 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..86        29        15        17
Ventrate Cat....VYGD      FAIR      MRGL      MRGL

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Snow showers.
Temperature.........Max 37-39.
RH..................Min 85-90%.
20-Foot Winds.......Upslope 3-7 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain....80%.
Chance of thunder...10%.
Mixing Height.......3000-4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 10-15 mph shifting to the west late in
                    the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Marginal to good.

TIME (PDT)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
Sky (%).........91        91        90        90
Weather cov.....DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....SNSHWR    SNSHWR    SNSHWR    SNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............80        80        80        80
Chc of thdr (%).10        10        10        10
Temp............33        33        34        36
RH..............100       100       99        100
20 FT wind......SE 3G10   S 3G10    SW 5G10   W 5G10
Mx ht msl (kft).2.1       2.0       4.1       3.0
Transport wind..S 10      S 10      S 15      W 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15        18        46        24
Ventrate Cat....MRGL      MRGL      GOOD      FAIR

$$
Forecaster...Richards/McKellar
Requested by...Heald
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523404.0/REV
.DELDT 10/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kenneth.heald@usda.gov