Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
782 FXUS65 KREV 291856 AFDREV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 1156 AM PDT Wed Jul 29 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... * Hot and dry conditions prevail into next week, with triple digit heat to lower valleys Friday and Saturday. * Hazy skies with areas of smoke from fires in Oregon reducing air quality at times across much of northwest and west central NV, with patchy smoke near and east of the Elephant Fire. * Typical afternoon winds are expected each day, with potential for elevated fire weather concerns in isolated locations. && .DISCUSSION... Temperatures will continue to ramp up slowly for the next couple of days, peaking Friday and Saturday as highs reach or surpass 100 degrees for most lower elevations of western NV/northeast CA/Chalfant Valley, and near 90 for Sierra communities. In most areas, the dry air mass will allow for decent cooling into the upper 50s-lower 60s for most lower valleys, but along US-95 in Mineral County the nights this weekend look warmer, with lows near or above 70 degrees with HeatRisk edging into the Major category. Therefore we have issued a Heat Advisory for Mineral/southern Lyon counties. While clear skies are expected to prevail for the next few days, areas of haze will likely continue due to large fires burning in Oregon with winds carrying smoke aloft across most of northwest- west central NV, and a small portion of northeast CA. In addition, daily flare ups within the interior of the Elephant Fire will produce patchy smoke and short periods of reduced air quality east of this fire into Reno`s North Valleys during the afternoon-early evening through at least Thursday. Typical afternoon SW-W breezes with gusts near 25 mph, locally up to 30 mph are expected for far northeast CA/northwest and far western NV through Thursday, then lighter winds return Friday. For Saturday, winds could edge up a bit (closer to 30 mph) as a shortwave passage in the northwest US brushes across our region. This would produce short periods of elevated fire weather concerns Saturday afternoon. Otherwise, behind this shortwave passage, temperatures ease back slightly Sunday-Monday but remain plenty warm for the start of August. Blended guidance then favors more triple digit heat returning to lower elevations toward the middle of next week, although confidence isn`t as high due to some diverging scenarios, some of which keep the high pressure ridge suppressed farther to the south which would favor highs remaining in the 90s. However, confidence is higher for dry conditions and typical afternoon breezes continuing through at least the middle of next week. MJD && .AVIATION... VFR conditions prevail through the upcoming week with little to no cloud cover. However, hazy skies from wildfires across the western US could bring minor reductions in slantwise visibility. SW-W wind gusts 20-25 kt each afternoon (mainly 21-04Z) through Thursday at the main terminals, then lighter on Friday. MJD && .REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NV...Heat Advisory from noon Friday to 8 AM PDT Sunday NVZ001. CA...None. && $$