056
FXUS65 KREV 060702
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
1202 AM PDT Mon Oct 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Below average temperatures today, then a warming trend arrives
  Tuesday into at least Thursday, with dry weather.

* There is the chance for another system by the end of the week,
  but confidence in the details remains low.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Sunny skies and warm temps will be the main theme starting today and
going through at least Wednesday. This morning will be similar to
yesterday morning in terms of temperatures, and through the week
we`ll see the low temps increase by a few degrees each day. Same
with afternoon highs, we peak on Wednesday in the upper 70`s across
lower valleys and near 70 in the Sierra. High pressure will settle
in early this week, giving us these warmer autumn days. Light
winds are also expected today and Tuesday out of the east before
they start to pick up on Wednesday.

Once Thursday comes, temperatures start to slide a little bit but
we are still looking at staying sunny and dry. We`ll be on the
edge of an upper level trough that will be lifting by the time it
reaches us. The system will eventually reach us on Friday,
bringing cooler temps, gusty winds, and the chance for rain and
mountain snow showers through the weekend. The onset of the
precip is still uncertain this far out, but most ensembles and
some deterministic runs have it moving in sometime Friday. Snow
levels will drop rapidly overnight Friday into Saturday, where we
could potentially see some snow showers above 7000 ft in the
Sierra north of Tahoe. Again, a lot to solidify still in the
upcoming days. These transition seasons, i.e. this time of year,
is where we start to see these cooler systems moving through where
they have a great amount of uncertainty, even 3 days out. But as
alluded to earlier, where we are confident is that there will
likely be a system pushing through late week into the weekend with
gusty winds and some form/amount of precipitation.

-Justin

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will continue today and tomorrow. Light easterly
winds and mostly clear skies today, with FZFG near KTRK this
morning between 09z-17z.

-Justin

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$