592
FXUS65 KREV 032015
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
115 PM PDT Thu Apr 3 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Mostly dry with light winds and a gradual warming trend each day
  through Sunday.

* Brush-by front brings mountain rain and snow showers along with
  areawide breezy winds on Monday.

* Warming trend returns for the balance of next week, with
  widespread 70s and 80s in the valleys, 50s and 60s in the
  mountains.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

* Ridging works into the region starting tomorrow with dry
  conditions expected through Sunday. Warming each day, but
  especially on Sunday when winds kick up a little and turn more
  W/SW vs E/NE.

* Isolated snow showers this afternoon and early evening over the
  high Sierra, per latest HREF guidance. Probability for measurable
  snowfall is low, under 20%. Clearing skies tonight should yield
  areas of freezing fog again in favored valleys, such as around
  Truckee.

* Brush-by cold front brings showers mainly to mountain areas Tahoe
  northward late Sunday night into Monday morning. Rain-snow lines
  are high, 7000-8000` per latest NBM so travel impacts look
  minimal. 20% chance for 0.1" or more rainfall in mountains, 5% of
  W Nevada. For the rest of the area including the E Sierra along
  Hwy 395 and W Nevada, main change Monday will be cooler temps vs
  Sunday along with breezy winds. Gusts on the order of 30-40 MPH as
  the "best guess", with 20-40% odds of seeing anything over 45 MPH.

* Balance of next week the warming returns. Wednesday-Thursday look
  to be the peak with widespread 70s and some 80s in W Nevada, with
  50s and 60s for mountain communities. Could continue into Friday.
  35-50% probability for RNO seeing 80+. Snowmelt flows on creeks
  and rivers will see some rises, but flooding not expected.

* Majority of guidance does indicate a cooling pattern the following
  weekend (4/11-13) with increased breezes and chances for precip.
  Low confidence this far out with large spread in NBM guidance. It
  is spring after all...

-Chris

&&

.AVIATION...

* Generally quiet weather for flying through much of the weekend,
  with VFR conditions and light N/NE/E winds, including for RNO.

* Isolated (10-20% odds) snow showers over the high Sierra today
  could produce brief MVFR-IFR conditions with mountain obscuration.
  Unlikely (under 10%) to directly affect TRK, TVL, or MMH.

* Freezing fog is likely for TRK again tonight with clear skies and
  residual moisture from the recent storm. Confidence is 80% for
  LIFR between 6z-18z/Fri. Can`t totally rule fog out for other
  Sierra valleys including around Mono Lake and TVL but odds are 20%
  or less.

-Chris

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$