


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
231 FXUS65 KREV 101858 AFDREV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 1158 AM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... * Heat Advisory in effect Monday-Wednesday for western Nevada valleys and portions of northeast California, with highs 95-105 degrees and Moderate to locally Major HeatRisk. * Light haze into Monday morning for Mono County, with any localized smoke most likely near Mammoth Lakes if fire activity increases. * Isolated thunderstorms possible midweek, followed by increasing winds Wednesday-Thursday that may bring localized elevated fire weather concerns and cooler temperatures late week. && .DISCUSSION... Heat through Wednesday AM: * A strengthening subtropical ridge shifts inland to start the week, driving a significant warm-up and prompting a Heat Advisory Monday through Wednesday for western Nevada valleys and parts of northeast California. Highs will peak between 98-105 degrees in western Nevada, with the hottest day for most areas on Tuesday. Sierra valleys will reach the mid to upper 80s, with some lower 90s possible for warmer locations like Bridgeport and Mammoth Lakes. Overnight lows in western Nevada will remain in the upper 60s to low 70s, limiting relief and increasing heat stress for sensitive groups, outdoor workers, and those without adequate cooling. Showers/Thunderstorms and Increasing Winds Mid to Late Week: * As the ridge axis slides east Tuesday into Wednesday, modest moisture will lift north along the Sierra crest, bringing a chance for isolated, high-based thunderstorms mainly for Mono and Alpine counties and possibly into far western Nevada Wednesday. These storms could produce gusty, erratic outflow winds, brief downpours, and occasional lightning. By Wednesday afternoon, a Pacific Northwest trough will tighten the pressure gradient, with a 60-75% probability of wind gusts over 35 mph in lower western Nevada and a 40-50% probability in Sierra valleys. Ridge gusts may exceed 40 mph. Minimum RH will fall into the single digits to low teens for lower valleys, supporting localized elevated fire weather concerns in far northern Washoe, northern Pershing, and parts of Lassen County. Temperatures will cool 5-10 degrees by Thursday-Friday, returning closer to seasonal normals. -Johnston && .AVIATION... * VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. Light haze is possible late tonight into Monday morning for KMMH, KMEV, and KBAN, with some slant-range visibility reductions in the morning hours before improving by late morning with mixing. Surface winds will remain SW-W 5-10 kts today with afternoon gusts 15-20 kts, increasing slightly Monday afternoon from the W-NW at 15-20 kts. Hot temperatures through midweek will create elevated density altitude concerns at all regional airports, especially in the Sierra and higher-elevation terminals. * Looking beyond 24 hours, isolated high-based thunderstorms are possible Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon mainly along the Sierra crest, with outflow gusts exceeding 35 kts possible near any cells. By Wednesday, a stronger westerly gradient will bring more widespread surface gusts of 25-35 kts across lower western Nevada terminals. This will result in periods of turbulence and possible LLWS. -Johnston && .REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NV...Heat Advisory from 11 AM Monday to 9 AM PDT Wednesday NVZ001- 003>005. CA...Heat Advisory from 11 AM Monday to 9 AM PDT Wednesday CAZ070-071. && $$