Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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061
FNUS72 KRAH 041404
FWSRAH

Spot Forecast for Cliffs of Neuse Rx...NC State Parks
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
904 AM EST Tue Feb 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on February 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact this NWS office if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A weak backdoor front will approach from the north early this
morning, then stall out and hold near the North Carolina and
Virginia state line and northeast North Carolina through this
evening. The front will finally push southward into central North
Carolina tonight into Wednesday, as cooler high pressure noses in
from the north. A passing upper level disturbance will bring rain
chances from Wednesday afternoon through early Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 22 mph shifting to the northwest
                    in the afternoon, decreasing and shifting to the
                    north late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1 to 4.
ADI.................12 early in the morning increasing to 82 in the
                    afternoon, then decreasing to 36 late in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Visibility..........10.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  21  14  2   2   0   0   0   2   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  57  64  68  71  74  75  75  75  73
RH..............86  75  60  54  49  46  43  43  41  46
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  12  12  12  12  10  9   6
20 FT wind gust.15  20  21  20  20  20  20  20  16  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 1.3 1.7 3.0 4.1 4.5 4.6 4.3 0.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.16  16  17  17  21  22  21  21  18  13
LVORI...........4   4   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............12  12  44  44  44  82  82  82  36  36
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the east and
                    northeast 9 to 12 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL increasing to 1500-2000 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 14 mph shifting to the east 15 to
                    21 mph in the late evening and overnight.
LVORI...............1 to 3.
ADI.................6 to 36.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Visibility..........10.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20  24  33  44  44  44  50  55  58  61  63  72
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............67  62  59  57  54  52  50  48  47  45  44  43
RH..............54  65  67  69  71  69  68  65  63  65  65  65
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NE  E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   8   10  12  12  10  9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.9   9   12  14  16  17  17  17  16  16  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.14  13  14  16  21  20  18  17  16  16  16  15
LVORI...........1   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............36  6   6   6   22  22  22  18  18  18  17  17
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East and northeast winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 14 to 15 mph.
LVORI...............2 to 3.
ADI.................17 to 27.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Visibility..........10.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  89  81  73  64  67  69  72  77  83  88  88
Weather cov.....                            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  40  40
Temp............43  42  43  45  46  47  49  50  50  50  50  48
RH..............62  65  62  58  58  58  56  56  58  61  61  68
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   NE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  15  15  14  14  15  15  14  14  14
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
ADI.............17  24  24  24  26  26  26  27  27  27  24  24
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...DANCO
Requested by...J. Shimel
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502223.0/RAH
.DELDT 02/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.shimel@ncparks.gov