104
FNUS72 KRAH 171036
FWSRAH

Spot Forecast for Long Valley Farm...NC State Parks
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
636 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on July 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact this NWS office if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Deep high pressure will extend across the Carolinas through
Saturday. A series of upper level disturbances will track east and
southeast through the Mid Atlantic region from Saturday night
through Monday, as a backdoor cold front approaches from the north.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon, then slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 16 to 20 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................13 early in the morning increasing to 99 in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Visibility..........9.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52  54  56  50  47  43  50  39  44  48  49
Weather cov.....                            SCH CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  20  30  30  20
Temp............77  78  81  84  86  88  90  92  93  92  91
RH..............90  88  79  72  68  63  60  56  54  54  56
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  10  10  10  10  12  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  16  17  17  17  17  17  17  17  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.5 2.2 2.6 3.3 4.1 4.6 4.9 4.6 4.3 3.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.16  20  20  18  17  18  18  17  18  17  17
LVORI...........5   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............13  48  48  48  85  85  85  99  99  99  48
Visibility (sm).9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 78.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 16 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................48 early in the evening decreasing to 5 late in
                    the night.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Visibility..........10.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........49  44  40  40  42  42  39  41  36  34  27  26
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0
Temp............91  89  87  86  84  83  82  82  81  80  79  79
RH..............56  59  63  65  70  72  74  74  77  77  79  79
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.14  12  9   12  12  12  12  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.16  15  12  10  12  13  13  14  15  16  14  13
LVORI...........1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
ADI.............48  48  8   8   8   9   9   9   7   7   7   5
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 16 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 73 in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.02 inches.
Visibility..........10.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31  26  24  25  25  26  33  41  49  48  47  47
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  50  50  50  50
Temp............79  78  80  84  88  91  92  94  95  95  94  94
RH..............82  85  82  74  66  60  58  54  53  53  54  54
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.3 3.1 4.0 5.1 5.8 4.7 4.1 3.5
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  12  16  16  14  16  15  13  12  10  13  15
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............5   5   35  35  35  71  71  71  73  73  73  36
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...HARTFIELD
Requested by...FMO
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518156.0/RAH
.DELDT 07/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.crate@ncparks.gov