Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC
053 FNUS72 KRAH 151203 FWSRAH Spot Forecast for KERN BURN...North Carolina Forest Service National Weather Service Raleigh NC 803 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on October 15. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact this NWS office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... A strong upper level disturbance and an associated cold front will swing across the area this afternoon and tonight. Canadian high pressure will settle across the southern Appalachians and Mid- Atlantic behind the front and persist into early next week. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Temperature.........54 at ignition...Max 64. RH..................57 percent at ignition...Min 41 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise North winds around 5 mph late in the morning becoming light, then becoming northwest around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light. Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 9 mph. LVORI...............2. ADI.................27 to 60. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. Visibility..........10. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 2 PM 5 PM Sky (%).........4 29 53 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 Temp............54 62 62 RH..............57 43 43 20 FT wind......N 5G9 NW 5G10 NW 3G9 Mix hgt (ft)....3700 5600 5700 Transport wind..NW 8 NW 9 W 9 LVORI...........1 1 2 ADI.............43 60 27 Visibility (sm).10 10 10 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of rain showers late in the evening. Chance of rain showers overnight, then slight chance of rain showers after 3 am. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. Temperature.........Min 41. RH..................Max 89 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 7 mph in the late evening and overnight. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 6 to 15 mph. LVORI...............4. ADI.................7 to 27. Pcpn amount.........0.04 inches. Visibility..........9. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........54 55 78 91 94 78 Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE S CHC Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 30 40 20 Temp............60 52 49 47 46 44 RH..............47 66 77 83 86 86 20 ft wind......NW 3 NW 3 N 6 N 7 N 5 N 6 20 ft wind gust.8 9 12 13 12 12 Mix hgt (ft)....2500 400 1300 1300 1000 1100 Transport wind..NW 7 NW 7 N 13 N 14 N 12 N 10 LVORI...........2 3 3 4 5 5 ADI.............27 7 7 9 7 7 Visibility (sm).10 10 10 10 10 9 .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Temperature.........Max 59. RH..................Min 40 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 10 to 18 mph increasing to 16 to 20 mph in the afternoon. LVORI...............3. ADI.................7 early in the morning increasing to 109 in the afternoon. Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches. Visibility..........9. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........57 43 30 23 16 9 9 10 10 17 24 30 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............43 42 42 45 49 52 54 56 57 58 58 57 RH..............86 86 86 76 66 56 52 47 43 40 40 42 20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT wind spd..5 5 7 8 8 9 9 9 8 9 8 8 20 FT wind gust.12 12 13 14 14 16 15 15 14 15 15 15 Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.7 3.7 4.3 5.0 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.9 Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N N N Transp wind spd.10 10 12 15 17 18 20 18 16 17 17 16 LVORI...........5 5 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............7 7 31 31 31 72 72 72 109 109 109 70 Visibility (sm).9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ Forecaster...STRICKLER Requested by...Brandon Bibey Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2424211.1/RAH .DELDT 10/15/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL brandon.bibey@ncagr.gov