Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC
240
FNUS72 KRAH 221047
FWSRAH
Spot Forecast for Carvers Creek SP...NC State Parks
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
647 AM EDT Tue Apr 22 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact this NWS office if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
A weakening cold front will drift slowly south through the area
through late Wednesday. The front will briefly stall just south of
the area before lifting north as a warm front late Thursday into
Friday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms
late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 16 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 106 in the
afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Visibility..........10.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34 38 52 59 61 63 65 67 71 75 79
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 40
Temp............66 68 72 75 79 82 84 85 86 86 84
RH..............83 80 70 62 54 50 45 43 41 40 42
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.10 10 12 12 12 12 10 12 13 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.8 1.3 2.0 3.4 4.8 6.3 7.3 7.6 7.5 5.0
Transp wind dir.SW W W W W W W W W SW W
Transp wind spd.12 14 14 13 12 10 13 13 13 15 16
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............6 25 25 25 65 65 65 106 106 106 55
Visibility (sm).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 9 mph shifting to the
north around 5 mph late in the evening, then
becoming light in the late evening and
overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the evening. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 14 mph shifting to the north 7
to 8 mph early in the evening, then shifting to
the east around 8 mph late in the evening
shifting to the north late in the evening.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................55 early in the evening decreasing to 2 late in
the night.
Pcpn amount.........0.22 inches.
Visibility..........9 decreasing to 7 overnight.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........80 81 82 81 80 80 80 81 82 80 78 76
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 40 40 40 30 40 40 30 30 30 30
Temp............82 80 77 75 73 71 69 68 67 67 66 66
RH..............47 53 62 69 75 80 84 87 90 90 90 92
20 FT wind dir..NW N NW N NE N N N N NW N N
20 FT wind spd..8 9 7 5 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1
20 FT wind gust.16 16 15 12 8 7 6 5 3 3 3 5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.W NW N N E N N N N NE NE NW
Transp wind spd.14 13 8 7 8 7 6 5 5 3 5 5
LVORI...........1 1 3 3 3 5 5 5 7 7 7 6
ADI.............55 55 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
Visibility (sm).10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 7 8 7 8
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph in
the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
late in the morning.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east late
in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 to 38.
Pcpn amount.........0.13 inches.
Visibility..........7 increasing to 9 in the late morning and
afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........76 75 74 75 75 75 77 77 79 76 72 69
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 50 50 50 50 50 50 70 70 70 70
Temp............65 65 66 69 72 76 77 78 79 79 78 78
RH..............93 93 93 86 78 68 64 62 60 60 61 61
20 FT wind dir..N N N E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.5 6 6 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.0 1.1 1.3 2.0 2.8 3.5 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.7
Transp wind dir.N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE E E
Transp wind spd.5 6 7 7 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10
LVORI...........6 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 3
ADI.............2 2 13 13 13 35 35 35 38 38 38 36
Visibility (sm).8 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
$$
Forecaster...LOCKLEAR
Requested by...FMO
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2511271.0/RAH
.DELDT 04/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.crate@ncparks.gov