053
FNUS72 KRAH 151203
FWSRAH

Spot Forecast for KERN BURN...North Carolina Forest Service
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
803 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on October 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact this NWS office if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A strong upper level disturbance and an associated cold front will
swing across the area this afternoon and tonight. Canadian high
pressure will settle across the southern Appalachians and Mid-
Atlantic behind the front and persist into early next week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........54 at ignition...Max 64.
RH..................57 percent at ignition...Min 41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    North winds around 5 mph late in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming northwest around
                    5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................27 to 60.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Visibility..........10.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM     2 PM      5 PM
Sky (%).........4         29        53
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0
Temp............54        62        62
RH..............57        43        43
20 FT wind......N 5G9     NW 5G10   NW 3G9
Mix hgt (ft)....3700      5600      5700
Transport wind..NW 8      NW 9      W 9
LVORI...........1         1         2
ADI.............43        60        27
Visibility (sm).10        10        10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the evening. Chance of
                    rain showers overnight, then slight chance of
                    rain showers after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Temperature.........Min 41.
RH..................Max 89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 15 mph.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................7 to 27.
Pcpn amount.........0.04 inches.
Visibility..........9.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........54     55     78     91     94     78
Weather cov.....                     CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     30     40     20
Temp............60     52     49     47     46     44
RH..............47     66     77     83     86     86
20 ft wind......NW 3   NW 3   N 6    N 7    N 5    N 6
20 ft wind gust.8      9      12     13     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....2500   400    1300   1300   1000   1100
Transport wind..NW 7   NW 7   N 13   N 14   N 12   N 10
LVORI...........2      3      3      4      5      5
ADI.............27     7      7      9      7      7
Visibility (sm).10     10     10     10     10     9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Temperature.........Max 59.
RH..................Min 40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 18 mph increasing to 16 to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 early in the morning increasing to 109 in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Visibility..........9.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57  43  30  23  16  9   9   10  10  17  24  30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  42  42  45  49  52  54  56  57  58  58  57
RH..............86  86  86  76  66  56  52  47  43  40  40  42
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   7   8   8   9   9   9   8   9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.12  12  13  14  14  16  15  15  14  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.7 3.7 4.3 5.0 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.9
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.10  10  12  15  17  18  20  18  16  17  17  16
LVORI...........5   5   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............7   7   31  31  31  72  72  72  109 109 109 70
Visibility (sm).9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...STRICKLER
Requested by...Brandon Bibey
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2424211.1/RAH
.DELDT 10/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brandon.bibey@ncagr.gov