Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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695
FNUS72 KRAH 051044
FWSRAH

Spot Forecast for Calloway 31 RX...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
544 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EST on February 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact this NWS office if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A backdoor cold front pushing southward through the area will settle
south of North Carolina this morning, allowing clouds and cooler
high pressure to spread in from the north and northeast. Surface low
pressure developing near the North Carolina coast later today, along
with passing upper level disturbances, will bring rain chances to
the region later today into Thursday. The cool air mass will weaken
and dissipate, giving way to warmer southwest flow from late
Thursday through Friday.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 17 mph.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................11.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Visibility..........10.

TIME (EST)      5AM
Sky (%).........48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0
Temp............45
RH..............76
20 FT wind dir..E
20 FT wind spd..7
20 FT wind gust.12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0
Transp wind dir.E
Transp wind spd.17
LVORI...........2
ADI.............11
Visibility (sm).10

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 18 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................11 to 29.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Visibility..........10.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69  79  97  93  97  98  99  97  98  100 100 100
Weather cov.....                                    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20  20
Temp............44  43  44  46  47  49  50  51  51  51  49  48
RH..............76  76  73  68  63  61  61  59  61  61  66  68
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..7   6   8   10  10  9   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.12  13  14  14  12  10  9       9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.9 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.16  16  16  18  16  15  14  13  13  13  13  14
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............11  24  24  24  29  29  29  27  27  27  29  29
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Chance of rain or
                    drizzle.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 15 mph decreasing to around 5
                    mph after 3 am.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................1 to 29.
Pcpn amount.........0.05 inches.
Visibility..........10 decreasing to 2.00.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........100 99  99  100 100 100 100 100 99  98  97  95
Weather cov.....SCH CHC SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  20  20  30  30  30  40  40  50  30  30
Temp............46  45  45  44  44  43  43  43  42  42  42  42
RH..............73  79  76  79  79  86  86  89  93  93  93  93
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   7   6   5   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  12  12  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N
Transp wind spd.14  15  14  14  12  10  8   7   7   7   5   5
LVORI...........3   4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   9   9
ADI.............29  13  13  13  9   9   9   3   3   3   1   1
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  7   6   5   4   2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain or
                    drizzle early in the morning, then slight
                    chance of rain showers in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 14 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 13 mph increasing to 16 to 22
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 early in the morning increasing to 53 in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.02 inches.
Visibility..........2.00 increasing to 6.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........92  89  80  71  62  55  49  42  40  37  35  34
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RN  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............42  42  45  49  52  58  63  69  70  72  73  71
RH..............93  93  89  83  80  72  65  59  59  55  55  59
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   2   3   6   8   10  12  14  14  14  13  12
20 FT wind gust.5   5   7   10  14  17  20  22  22  22  21  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.3 1.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   5   8   13  16  16  18  21  22  22  22  20
LVORI...........9   5   5   5   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............1   9   9   9   27  27  27  53  53  53  45  45
Visibility (sm).2.0 6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7

$$
Forecaster...HARTFIELD
Requested by...Alan Teed
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502293.0/RAH
.DELDT 02/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alan.teed@tnc.org