Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
738
UXUS97 KPUB 031207
SRGPUB
Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0607 MDT Tuesday, June 3, 2025
This forecast is for Villa Grove, CO for Tuesday, June 3, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 54.0 F/12.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 750 ft/min (3.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19792 ft MSL (10795 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 70.0 F/21.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0800 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast thin middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17415 ft MSL (8417 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 06/04.... Good
Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:41:02 / 20:22:40 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 41 min 38 sec (881 min 38 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:01:51 MDT... 74.14 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/03/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 13282 ft MSL (4285 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13607 ft MSL (4610 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16790 ft MSL (7793 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.6
K index......................... +20.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.7 -75.5 255 41 21 1.7 1.0 M M M M M
45000 -57.5 -71.5 265 46 23 0.2 0.1 M M M M M
40000 -57.1 -70.8 285 35 18 3.5 1.9 M M M M M
38000 -53.2 -63.8 285 30 15 6.5 3.6 M M M M M
36000 -49.2 -56.6 280 25 13 6.5 3.6 M M M M M
34000 -44.5 -48.1 275 22 11 8.8 4.8 M M M M M
32000 -39.2 -38.6 275 21 11 8.8 4.8 M M M M M
30000 -33.4 -28.1 275 20 10 8.4 4.6 30.7 87.3 7.5 M M
29000 -30.9 -23.6 275 19 10 8.4 4.6 30.2 86.4 7.2 M M
28000 -28.4 -19.1 280 19 10 8.6 4.7 29.9 85.7 7.0 M M
27000 -26.1 -15.0 280 19 10 7.5 4.1 29.1 84.3 6.4 M M
26000 -23.9 -11.0 285 19 10 7.5 4.1 28.2 82.8 5.7 M M
25000 -21.7 -7.1 285 19 10 7.5 4.1 27.5 81.5 5.2 M M
24000 -19.6 -3.3 290 19 10 6.9 3.8 26.6 79.9 4.4 M M
23000 -17.5 0.5 290 20 10 6.9 3.8 25.6 78.0 3.6 M M
22000 -15.5 4.1 290 20 10 6.9 3.8 24.7 76.4 2.8 M M
21000 -13.6 7.5 295 21 11 5.5 3.0 23.4 74.1 1.7 M M
20000 -12.1 10.2 300 22 12 5.4 3.0 21.9 71.4 0.3 M M
19500 -11.3 11.7 305 23 12 5.4 3.0 21.2 70.1 -0.3 932 4.7
19000 -10.5 13.1 305 24 12 5.5 3.0 20.5 68.9 -0.9 894 4.5
18500 -9.7 14.5 310 25 13 5.8 3.2 19.8 67.7 -1.6 855 4.3
18000 -8.9 16.0 315 25 13 5.8 3.2 19.2 66.5 -2.2 816 4.1
17500 -8.0 17.6 320 26 13 6.9 3.8 18.6 65.4 -2.9 775 3.9
17000 -6.9 19.6 320 25 13 7.5 4.1 18.2 64.7 -3.2 728 3.7
16500 -5.8 21.6 325 24 13 7.4 4.1 17.8 64.1 -3.6 680 3.5
16000 -4.8 23.4 325 23 12 6.5 3.6 17.3 63.2 -4.1 636 3.2
15500 -3.4 25.9 335 20 10 6.5 3.6 16.6 61.9 -4.9 571 2.9
15000 -2.5 27.5 335 18 9 6.4 3.5 16.1 60.9 -5.5 529 2.7
14500 -1.6 29.1 340 17 9 4.7 2.6 15.6 60.0 -6.0 486 2.5
14000 -1.0 30.2 345 16 8 5.6 3.1 14.7 58.4 -6.9 453 2.3
13500 -0.2 31.6 345 15 8 5.8 3.2 14.0 57.2 -7.7 416 2.1
13000 0.3 32.5 345 14 7 1.4 0.7 13.0 55.4 -8.7 387 2.0
12500 0.6 33.1 345 12 6 2.2 1.2 11.8 53.2 -9.9 363 1.8
12000 0.8 33.4 345 11 6 2.0 1.1 10.6 51.1 -11.2 341 1.7
11750 1.0 33.8 350 10 5 3.4 1.9 10.1 50.1 -11.7 328 1.7
11500 1.2 34.2 355 9 5 3.3 1.8 9.6 49.2 -12.3 313 1.6
11250 1.5 34.7 360 9 5 4.2 2.3 9.1 48.4 -12.8 299 1.5
11000 1.8 35.2 010 9 4 5.4 3.0 8.7 47.7 -13.2 281 1.4
10750 2.3 36.1 015 9 4 7.3 4.0 8.5 47.2 -13.5 260 1.3
10500 2.9 37.2 020 8 4 8.8 4.8 8.4 47.0 -13.7 235 1.2
10250 3.5 38.3 030 8 4 8.7 4.8 8.3 46.9 -13.8 210 1.1
10000 4.1 39.4 030 7 4 8.9 4.9 8.2 46.8 -14.0 184 0.9
9750 4.7 40.5 035 7 4 9.1 5.0 8.1 46.7 -14.1 157 0.8
9500 5.3 41.5 040 6 3 8.4 4.6 8.1 46.5 -14.3 131 0.7
9250 6.0 42.8 045 6 3 9.7 5.3 8.0 46.4 -14.4 106 0.5
9000 7.1 44.8 050 5 3 24.8 13.6 8.4 47.2 -14.1 65 0.3
8750 M M M M M M M M M M M M
8500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
8250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
8000 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/03/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/03/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +31.9 LI... +0.9 | CAPE... +307.1 LI... -1.5
CINH... -0.6 K Index... -3.7 | CINH... -4.3 K Index... -15.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.0 -76.0 260 46 24 1.8 1.0 | -60.1 -76.2 255 46 24 1.2 0.7
45000 -57.5 -71.5 265 53 27 1.1 0.6 | -58.0 -72.4 260 60 31 1.8 1.0
40000 -55.7 -68.3 260 45 23 3.6 2.0 | -55.3 -67.5 255 54 28 3.2 1.8
38000 -52.3 -62.1 255 41 21 5.7 3.1 | -52.3 -62.1 255 48 25 4.9 2.7
36000 -48.9 -56.0 255 37 19 5.7 3.1 | -49.4 -56.9 250 43 22 4.9 2.7
34000 -44.5 -48.1 250 35 18 8.4 4.6 | -45.1 -49.2 250 41 21 8.6 4.7
32000 -39.5 -39.1 255 34 18 8.4 4.6 | -40.0 -40.0 250 40 21 8.6 4.7
30000 -34.0 -29.2 255 33 17 8.1 4.5 | -34.6 -30.3 255 38 19 7.8 4.3
29000 -31.6 -24.9 255 33 17 8.1 4.5 | -32.2 -26.0 255 37 19 7.8 4.3
28000 -29.1 -20.4 255 32 17 8.2 4.5 | -29.9 -21.8 260 36 18 7.8 4.3
27000 -26.8 -16.2 260 32 16 7.8 4.3 | -27.6 -17.7 265 35 18 7.6 4.2
26000 -24.5 -12.1 265 32 16 7.8 4.3 | -25.3 -13.5 265 35 18 7.6 4.2
25000 -22.1 -7.8 265 32 16 7.7 4.2 | -23.0 -9.4 265 34 18 7.6 4.2
24000 -19.9 -3.8 270 31 16 6.8 3.8 | -20.9 -5.6 270 34 17 6.3 3.5
23000 -17.9 -0.2 275 30 15 6.8 3.8 | -19.0 -2.2 270 33 17 6.3 3.5
22000 -15.8 3.6 275 28 15 6.8 3.8 | -17.1 1.2 275 32 16 6.4 3.5
21000 -13.9 7.0 280 27 14 5.9 3.2 | -15.2 4.6 280 30 16 6.5 3.6
20000 -12.1 10.2 285 25 13 5.9 3.2 | -13.2 8.2 280 27 14 6.5 3.6
19500 -11.3 11.7 285 24 12 5.9 3.2 | -12.2 10.0 280 26 13 6.5 3.6
19000 -10.4 13.3 290 23 12 5.8 3.2 | -11.3 11.7 280 24 13 6.6 3.6
18500 -9.6 14.7 290 22 11 5.4 3.0 | -10.2 13.6 285 23 12 6.8 3.8
18000 -8.8 16.2 295 20 10 5.5 3.0 | -9.2 15.4 285 22 11 6.9 3.8
17500 -8.0 17.6 300 19 10 5.3 2.9 | -8.2 17.2 285 20 11 5.6 3.1
17000 -7.3 18.9 305 17 9 5.3 2.9 | -7.5 18.5 285 20 10 5.4 3.0
16500 -6.6 20.1 310 16 8 5.7 3.1 | -6.7 19.9 285 19 10 5.5 3.0
16000 -5.7 21.7 310 16 8 6.5 3.6 | -5.4 22.3 290 19 10 6.1 3.3
15500 -4.4 24.1 310 15 8 6.9 3.8 | -4.6 23.7 295 19 10 7.1 3.9
15000 -3.4 25.9 310 15 8 7.1 3.9 | -3.5 25.7 300 18 10 8.2 4.5
14500 -2.4 27.7 310 15 8 6.3 3.4 | -2.5 27.5 300 19 10 6.7 3.6
14000 -1.6 29.1 310 15 8 6.3 3.5 | -1.5 29.3 295 16 8 8.1 4.4
13500 -0.7 30.7 310 14 7 6.4 3.5 | -0.5 31.1 285 14 7 7.7 4.3
13000 -0.0 32.0 310 13 6 4.0 2.2 | 0.7 33.3 280 11 6 9.9 5.4
12500 0.6 33.1 305 11 6 4.5 2.5 | 2.0 35.6 270 9 5 9.7 5.3
12000 1.2 34.2 295 9 5 4.1 2.2 | 3.5 38.3 260 8 4 9.7 5.3
11750 1.5 34.7 295 9 4 5.1 2.8 | 4.2 39.6 260 7 4 9.6 5.3
11500 1.8 35.2 290 8 4 5.0 2.7 | 4.9 40.8 260 7 4 9.5 5.2
11250 2.2 36.0 285 7 4 5.7 3.1 | 5.6 42.1 260 7 4 10.3 5.6
11000 2.6 36.7 280 6 3 6.3 3.4 | 6.4 43.5 260 7 3 11.5 6.3
10750 3.1 37.6 280 5 2 7.4 4.1 | 7.2 45.0 260 6 3 10.6 5.8
10500 3.7 38.7 275 3 2 8.3 4.6 | 8.0 46.4 260 6 3 9.8 5.4
10250 4.3 39.7 260 2 1 9.1 5.0 | 8.7 47.7 255 6 3 10.5 5.8
10000 5.0 41.0 240 1 0 10.2 5.6 | 9.5 49.1 255 6 3 10.9 6.0
9750 5.7 42.3 205 1 0 10.4 5.7 | 10.4 50.7 255 5 3 11.4 6.2
9500 6.5 43.7 165 1 0 9.7 5.3 | 11.2 52.2 255 5 3 9.6 5.3
9250 7.3 45.1 140 1 0 13.1 7.2 | 12.0 53.6 255 5 2 16.5 9.1
9000 9.1 48.4 145 1 0 44.5 24.4 | M M M M M M M
8750 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8000 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/03/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/03/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +380.4 LI... -2.2 | CAPE... +649.8 LI... -3.4
CINH... -1.4 K Index... +12.6 | CINH... -13.0 K Index... +20.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.2 -76.4 255 46 24 1.0 0.6 | -60.0 -76.0 255 44 22 1.1 0.6
45000 -58.5 -73.3 260 59 30 2.0 1.1 | -58.2 -72.8 265 60 31 1.5 0.8
40000 -55.3 -67.5 255 55 28 3.0 1.7 | -55.8 -68.4 260 62 32 2.8 1.5
38000 -52.7 -62.9 255 49 25 4.3 2.4 | -53.1 -63.6 250 56 29 4.6 2.5
36000 -50.2 -58.4 255 43 22 4.3 2.3 | -50.3 -58.5 240 50 26 4.6 2.5
34000 -46.0 -50.8 255 40 21 8.7 4.8 | -46.1 -51.0 240 48 25 8.8 4.8
32000 -40.8 -41.4 255 40 21 8.7 4.8 | -40.8 -41.4 245 47 24 8.8 4.8
30000 -35.8 -32.4 260 40 21 7.8 4.3 | -35.8 -32.4 250 46 24 8.0 4.4
29000 -33.5 -28.3 265 40 21 7.8 4.3 | -32.8 -27.0 260 45 23 8.0 4.4
28000 -30.6 -23.1 270 41 21 7.9 4.3 | -30.4 -22.7 265 46 23 8.1 4.4
27000 -28.2 -18.8 275 41 21 7.8 4.3 | -28.1 -18.6 270 43 22 7.4 4.1
26000 -25.9 -14.6 275 41 21 7.8 4.3 | -25.9 -14.6 270 41 21 7.5 4.1
25000 -23.5 -10.3 280 41 21 7.8 4.3 | -23.6 -10.5 275 38 19 7.4 4.1
24000 -21.4 -6.5 280 41 21 6.5 3.6 | -21.6 -6.9 275 36 19 6.5 3.6
23000 -19.4 -2.9 280 41 21 6.5 3.6 | -19.6 -3.3 275 36 19 6.5 3.6
22000 -17.5 0.5 275 41 21 6.5 3.6 | -17.7 0.1 280 36 19 6.6 3.6
21000 -15.6 3.9 275 40 20 6.3 3.5 | -15.8 3.6 280 35 18 6.5 3.6
20000 -13.7 7.3 275 38 19 6.3 3.5 | -13.9 7.0 280 33 17 6.6 3.6
19500 -12.8 9.0 280 37 19 6.4 3.5 | -12.9 8.8 280 32 16 6.6 3.6
19000 -11.9 10.6 280 36 18 6.4 3.5 | -12.0 10.4 280 31 16 7.0 3.8
18500 -10.9 12.4 275 34 18 6.6 3.6 | -10.9 12.4 280 30 15 8.0 4.4
18000 -10.0 14.0 275 32 17 6.7 3.7 | -9.8 14.4 280 28 15 8.0 4.4
17500 -9.0 15.8 275 30 16 8.5 4.6 | -8.6 16.5 280 27 14 8.8 4.9
17000 -7.8 18.0 275 27 14 8.6 4.7 | -7.3 18.9 280 25 13 9.0 4.9
16500 -6.6 20.1 275 24 13 9.0 4.9 | -6.1 21.0 285 23 12 9.0 4.9
16000 -5.3 22.5 275 22 11 9.4 5.1 | -4.8 23.4 280 20 10 9.0 4.9
15500 -3.9 25.0 275 20 10 9.4 5.2 | -3.5 25.7 280 18 9 9.0 4.9
15000 -2.5 27.5 275 18 9 10.4 5.7 | -1.5 29.3 275 15 8 9.5 5.2
14500 -0.3 31.5 275 16 8 7.8 4.3 | -0.2 31.6 270 13 7 7.3 4.0
14000 1.0 33.8 275 15 8 10.0 5.5 | 0.9 33.6 265 12 6 8.1 4.4
13500 2.5 36.5 275 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 2.0 35.6 260 10 5 7.1 3.9
13000 3.9 39.0 275 13 7 10.3 5.6 | 3.0 37.4 245 9 5 7.8 4.3
12500 5.5 41.9 280 12 6 10.4 5.7 | 4.1 39.4 235 8 4 8.1 4.4
12000 6.8 44.2 280 9 5 9.0 5.0 | 5.0 41.0 215 8 4 5.4 2.9
11750 7.6 45.7 285 9 5 10.6 5.8 | 5.5 41.9 210 8 4 7.9 4.3
11500 8.3 46.9 285 8 4 10.1 5.6 | 6.0 42.8 200 9 4 7.4 4.1
11250 9.1 48.4 285 8 4 10.4 5.7 | 6.6 43.9 195 9 5 7.2 3.9
11000 9.9 49.8 290 7 4 10.6 5.8 | 7.0 44.6 185 9 5 6.2 3.4
10750 10.7 51.3 290 6 3 10.3 5.7 | 7.5 45.5 180 10 5 7.9 4.3
10500 11.4 52.5 295 6 3 10.0 5.5 | 8.2 46.8 175 10 5 9.3 5.1
10250 12.2 54.0 295 6 3 10.3 5.7 | 8.8 47.8 170 10 5 9.4 5.1
10000 12.9 55.2 300 5 3 10.3 5.7 | 9.5 49.1 165 10 5 9.9 5.4
9750 13.7 56.7 300 5 3 11.0 6.0 | 10.3 50.5 165 10 5 10.1 5.6
9500 14.5 58.1 305 5 2 10.4 5.7 | 11.0 51.8 160 9 5 9.2 5.1
9250 15.4 59.7 310 4 2 17.5 9.6 | 11.7 53.1 155 9 5 13.1 7.2
9000 18.3 64.9 310 3 2 73.4 40.3 | 13.7 56.7 155 8 4 49.2 27.0
8750 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8000 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC). It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near Villa Grove, Colorado at:
North Latitude: 38 deg 16 min 03 sec
West Longitude: 105 deg 53 min 37 sec
Elevation: 7986 feet (2434 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page. To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613