Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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386
UXUS97 KPUB 241308
SRGPUB

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0608 MST Sunday, November 24, 2024

This forecast is for Villa Grove, CO for Sunday, November 24, 2024:

If the trigger temperature of 50.0 F/10.0 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Fair
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 238 ft/min (1.2 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 12412 ft MSL (3430 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 49.0 F/9.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1415 MST
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Overcast thin high
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 10744 ft MSL (1761 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 11/25....... Poor

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:55:19 / 16:45:38 MST
Total possible sunshine........... 9 hr 50 min 19 sec (590 min 19 sec)
Altitude of sun at 11:50:29 MST... 30.93 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 11/24/2024 at 0500 MST

Freezing level.................. 9850 ft MSL (868 ft AGL)
Additional freezing level....... 11969 ft MSL (2987 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 22750 ft MSL (13768 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18904 ft MSL (9922 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +8.0
K index......................... +8.8

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -68.1 -90.6   250   50   26   4.0   2.2      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -61.7 -79.1   250   62   32   4.4   2.4      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -55.1 -67.2   260   83   43   4.4   2.4      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -53.3 -63.9   260   86   44   2.3   1.2      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -52.0 -61.6   255   86   44   2.3   1.2      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -49.8 -57.6   255   85   44   7.5   4.1      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -45.2 -49.4   255   84   43   7.7   4.2      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -39.8 -39.6   260   82   42   8.7   4.8   24.1  75.4    11.5      M    M
 29000  -37.2 -35.0   260   82   42   8.7   4.7   23.6  74.5    11.3      M    M
 28000  -34.6 -30.3   260   82   42   8.7   4.7   23.3  73.9    11.1      M    M
 27000  -32.0 -25.6   260   81   42   8.3   4.6   22.9  73.3    11.0      M    M
 26000  -29.5 -21.1   260   80   41   8.3   4.6   22.3  72.2    10.6      M    M
 25000  -27.0 -16.6   255   79   41   8.3   4.6   21.8  71.3    10.3      M    M
 24000  -24.5 -12.1   255   78   40   7.7   4.2   21.4  70.5    10.1      M    M
 23000  -22.4  -8.3   255   76   39   7.3   4.0   20.4  68.8     9.3      M    M
 22000  -20.2  -4.4   250   75   39   7.3   4.0   19.6  67.2     8.7      M    M
 21000  -18.1  -0.6   250   74   38   6.3   3.4   18.7  65.7     8.1      M    M
 20000  -16.3   2.7   250   70   36   6.1   3.4   17.4  63.3     6.9      M    M
 19500  -15.4   4.3   255   69   35   6.2   3.4   16.8  62.2     6.4      M    M
 19000  -14.5   5.9   255   67   34   6.2   3.4   16.2  61.2     5.9      M    M
 18500  -13.6   7.5   255   65   34   5.7   3.2   15.7  60.3     5.4      M    M
 18000  -12.9   8.8   255   64   33   5.1   2.8   14.9  58.9     4.7      M    M
 17500  -12.2  10.0   255   63   32   4.9   2.7   14.2  57.5     4.0      M    M
 17000  -11.3  11.7   255   62   32   7.2   4.0   13.5  56.4     3.4      M    M
 16500  -10.3  13.5   255   61   32   7.0   3.9   13.1  55.6     3.0      M    M
 16000   -9.3  15.3   255   61   31   6.6   3.6   12.7  54.8     2.6      M    M
 15500   -7.9  17.8   255   58   30   6.0   3.3   11.8  53.3     1.7      M    M
 15000   -6.8  19.8   255   56   29   9.9   5.5   11.5  52.7     1.4      M    M
 14500   -5.2  22.6   255   55   28   8.3   4.5   11.6  52.9     1.6      M    M
 14000   -4.3  24.3   260   53   27   6.9   3.8   11.0  51.8     1.0      M    M
 13500   -3.0  26.6   260   50   26   8.0   4.4   10.7  51.2     0.8      M    M
 13000   -1.9  28.6   260   47   24   6.5   3.5   10.3  50.6     0.5      M    M
 12500   -0.9  30.4   255   42   22   6.3   3.4    9.8  49.6     0.0      M    M
 12000    0.1  32.2   255   38   19   6.1   3.3    9.3  48.7    -0.5    295  1.5
 11750    0.5  32.9   255   36   18   3.8   2.1    8.9  48.0    -0.8    276  1.4
 11500    0.7  33.3   255   37   19   2.2   1.2    8.3  47.0    -1.3    262  1.3
 11250    0.9  33.6   255   38   20   3.0   1.6    7.8  46.0    -1.8    248  1.3
 11000    1.1  34.0   250   40   20   1.5   0.8    7.3  45.1    -2.4    235  1.2
 10750    1.1  34.0   250   38   20  -1.9  -1.0    6.5  43.7    -3.1    228  1.2
 10500    0.8  33.4   250   36   19  -3.6  -2.0    5.5  41.9    -4.1    228  1.2
 10250    0.6  33.1   250   34   17  -2.4  -1.3    4.5  40.2    -5.1    228  1.2
 10000    0.3  32.5   245   31   16  -5.8  -3.2    3.6  38.4    -6.1    228  1.2
  9750   -0.4  31.3   245   28   14 -11.1  -6.1    2.1  35.8    -7.5    242  1.2
  9500   -1.3  29.7   240   24   12 -13.3  -7.3    0.5  32.9    -9.2    262  1.3
  9250   -2.4  27.7   235   17    9 -15.8  -8.7   -1.3  29.6   -11.1    288  1.5
  9000   -3.5  25.7   225   10    5 -11.1  -6.1   -3.2  26.3   -13.0    314  1.6
  8750      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8000      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           11/24/2024 at 0800 MST          |       11/24/2024 at 1100 MST
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +1.9        | CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +2.2
CINH...     0.0    K Index...   0.0        | CINH...     0.0    K Index...  +2.7
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -66.2 -87.2  250  58 30   4.3   2.4 | -65.0 -85.0  250  58 30   3.5   1.9
 45000 -59.6 -75.3  250  65 33   0.8   0.4 | -59.7 -75.5  250  65 34   0.2   0.1
 40000 -57.9 -72.2  265  97 50   1.1   0.6 | -59.1 -74.4  255  97 50   0.3   0.2
 38000 -56.0 -68.8  270 106 54   4.6   2.5 | -56.9 -70.4  255 103 53   6.0   3.3
 36000 -53.2 -63.8  270 110 57   4.6   2.5 | -53.3 -63.9  255 103 53   6.0   3.3
 34000 -49.9 -57.8  265 112 58   7.7   4.2 | -49.4 -56.9  255 104 53   7.6   4.2
 32000 -45.3 -49.5  265 104 53   7.8   4.3 | -44.8 -48.6  260 102 53   7.7   4.2
 30000 -39.9 -39.8  260  96 50   8.2   4.5 | -39.6 -39.3  260 101 52   7.9   4.3
 29000 -37.5 -35.5  260  94 49   8.2   4.5 | -37.3 -35.1  260 101 52   7.9   4.3
 28000 -35.0 -31.0  260  92 48   8.2   4.5 | -34.9 -30.8  260 100 52   7.9   4.3
 27000 -32.5 -26.5  255  90 46   8.1   4.4 | -32.5 -26.5  260 100 51   8.1   4.4
 26000 -30.1 -22.2  255  88 45   8.1   4.4 | -30.1 -22.2  260  99 51   8.1   4.5
 25000 -27.7 -17.9  255  85 44   8.1   4.4 | -27.7 -17.9  260  98 50   8.1   4.5
 24000 -25.3 -13.5  255  82 42   8.0   4.4 | -25.2 -13.4  260  97 50   7.7   4.2
 23000 -22.9  -9.2  255  79 41   8.0   4.4 | -23.2  -9.8  260  94 48   6.7   3.7
 22000 -20.5  -4.9  255  76 39   8.0   4.4 | -21.2  -6.2  260  90 46   6.7   3.7
 21000 -18.1  -0.6  255  73 38   5.4   3.0 | -19.2  -2.6  260  86 44   6.1   3.3
 20000 -16.8   1.8  255  71 37   4.5   2.5 | -17.5   0.5  255  78 40   5.7   3.1
 19500 -16.1   3.0  255  70 36   4.5   2.5 | -16.7   1.9  255  75 38   5.7   3.1
 19000 -15.5   4.1  255  69 35   4.5   2.5 | -15.8   3.6  255  71 36   5.7   3.1
 18500 -14.8   5.4  255  68 35   4.5   2.5 | -15.0   5.0  250  67 35   4.8   2.6
 18000 -14.2   6.4  255  66 34   4.4   2.4 | -14.6   5.7  250  66 34   2.0   1.1
 17500 -13.6   7.5  255  64 33   4.2   2.3 | -14.3   6.3  250  66 34   1.8   1.0
 17000 -12.7   9.1  255  62 32   7.4   4.1 | -13.8   7.2  250  66 34   5.5   3.0
 16500 -11.7  10.9  255  58 30   7.4   4.0 | -13.0   8.6  250  63 33   5.9   3.2
 16000 -10.6  12.9  255  55 28   7.8   4.3 | -12.2  10.0  250  61 31   6.9   3.8
 15500  -9.5  14.9  255  54 28   8.1   4.4 | -10.5  13.1  250  57 30   7.9   4.3
 15000  -8.3  17.1  255  53 27   8.4   4.6 |  -9.2  15.4  250  54 28  10.3   5.6
 14500  -6.3  20.7  255  52 27   7.7   4.2 |  -7.5  18.5  250  48 25   9.0   5.0
 14000  -5.5  22.1  255  51 26   6.4   3.5 |  -6.7  19.9  245  43 22   5.1   2.8
 13500  -4.3  24.3  255  48 25   7.7   4.2 |  -5.9  21.4  250  46 24   6.0   3.3
 13000  -3.3  26.1  255  45 23   6.1   3.4 |  -5.2  22.6  250  48 25   3.3   1.8
 12500  -2.4  27.7  255  39 20   5.7   3.1 |  -4.5  23.9  255  45 23   5.5   3.0
 12000  -1.5  29.3  255  33 17   3.6   2.0 |  -3.7  25.3  255  41 21   5.5   3.0
 11750  -1.3  29.7  255  34 18   1.5   0.8 |  -3.3  26.1  255  39 20   5.1   2.8
 11500  -1.1  30.0  250  35 18   2.7   1.5 |  -2.9  26.8  255  36 19   4.4   2.4
 11250  -0.9  30.4  250  35 18   3.0   1.6 |  -2.5  27.5  255  33 17   5.3   2.9
 11000  -0.7  30.7  250  36 18   1.0   0.6 |  -2.2  28.0  255  31 16   2.5   1.4
 10750  -0.7  30.7  250  34 18  -3.1  -1.7 |  -2.1  28.2  255  28 15   0.6   0.3
 10500  -1.0  30.2  250  32 16  -4.4  -2.4 |  -1.9  28.6  255  25 13   2.8   1.6
 10250  -1.4  29.5  245  29 15  -3.9  -2.1 |  -1.7  28.9  250  22 12   2.3   1.3
 10000  -1.7  28.9  245  27 14  -5.3  -2.9 |  -1.5  29.3  245  20 10   4.7   2.6
  9750  -2.2  28.0  240  25 13  -7.0  -3.8 |  -1.0  30.2  240  18  9   8.8   4.9
  9500  -2.6  27.3  235  22 11  -4.8  -2.6 |  -0.2  31.6  235  16  8  13.3   7.3
  9250  -2.9  26.8  230  19 10  -0.9  -0.5 |   1.1  34.0  235  14  7  19.3  10.6
  9000  -2.9  26.8  220  11  6   0.2   0.1 |   2.3  36.1  230  12  6   8.7   4.7
  8750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           11/24/2024 at 1400 MST          |       11/24/2024 at 1700 MST
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +4.5        | CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +5.2
CINH...     0.0    K Index...  -4.5        | CINH...    -0.8    K Index... -10.7
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -65.0 -85.0  250  55 28   3.2   1.8 | -64.1 -83.4  255  63 32   2.8   1.5
 45000 -60.2 -76.4  255  62 32   2.3   1.3 | -60.0 -76.0  260  68 35   2.6   1.5
 40000 -58.6 -73.5  260  96 49   1.0   0.5 | -56.1 -69.0  270  88 46   2.4   1.3
 38000 -56.3 -69.3  260 100 51   5.6   3.1 | -54.5 -66.1  265  94 49   2.8   1.6
 36000 -53.0 -63.4  260  98 50   5.6   3.1 | -52.8 -63.0  260  99 51   2.8   1.6
 34000 -49.4 -56.9  255  97 50   7.5   4.1 | -50.5 -58.9  260 104 53   7.8   4.3
 32000 -44.9 -48.8  255  97 50   7.4   4.1 | -46.0 -50.8  260 103 53   7.6   4.2
 30000 -39.8 -39.6  255  98 50   7.8   4.3 | -41.3 -42.3  260 102 53   8.4   4.6
 29000 -37.5 -35.5  255  98 51   7.8   4.3 | -38.2 -36.8  265  99 51   8.4   4.6
 28000 -35.2 -31.4  255  99 51   7.8   4.3 | -35.6 -32.1  265  96 49   8.4   4.6
 27000 -32.8 -27.0  255  99 51   8.2   4.5 | -33.1 -27.6  270  94 48   8.2   4.5
 26000 -30.3 -22.5  255  93 48   8.3   4.5 | -30.7 -23.3  265  90 47   8.1   4.4
 25000 -27.9 -18.2  255  88 45   8.3   4.6 | -28.3 -18.9  265  88 45   8.1   4.4
 24000 -25.4 -13.7  255  82 42   8.1   4.4 | -25.9 -14.6  260  85 44   7.8   4.3
 23000 -23.2  -9.8  255  82 42   7.2   4.0 | -23.8 -10.8  260  84 43   6.9   3.8
 22000 -21.0  -5.8  255  82 42   7.2   4.0 | -21.8  -7.2  260  82 42   6.9   3.8
 21000 -18.9  -2.0  255  83 42   6.6   3.6 | -19.7  -3.5  260  81 42   7.0   3.8
 20000 -17.0   1.4  255  83 42   6.1   3.3 | -17.6   0.3  255  79 41   7.1   3.9
 19500 -16.1   3.0  255  83 42   6.1   3.3 | -16.5   2.3  255  79 40   7.1   3.9
 19000 -15.2   4.6  255  83 42   6.0   3.3 | -15.4   4.3  255  78 40   7.1   3.9
 18500 -14.3   6.3  255  83 42   5.8   3.2 | -14.3   6.3  255  77 40   6.7   3.7
 18000 -13.6   7.5  255  81 42   4.4   2.4 | -13.5   7.7  255  76 39   4.5   2.5
 17500 -12.9   8.8  255  79 41   4.6   2.5 | -12.8   9.0  255  76 39   4.8   2.6
 17000 -12.3   9.9  255  77 39   2.8   1.6 | -12.2  10.0  255  74 38   2.9   1.6
 16500 -12.0  10.4  255  75 38   2.5   1.4 | -11.8  10.8  255  72 37   2.6   1.4
 16000 -11.4  11.5  255  71 37   3.1   1.7 | -11.4  11.5  255  70 36   2.2   1.2
 15500 -11.0  12.2  255  67 35   3.2   1.8 | -11.3  11.7  260  65 34   1.3   0.7
 15000 -10.5  13.1  255  64 33   5.6   3.1 | -11.1  12.0  260  60 31   1.5   0.8
 14500  -9.5  14.9  255  59 30   6.5   3.6 | -10.8  12.6  260  56 29   2.7   1.5
 14000  -8.8  16.2  255  54 28   6.4   3.5 | -10.4  13.3  260  54 28   5.4   2.9
 13500  -7.6  18.3  255  49 25   9.2   5.0 |  -9.2  15.4  260  51 26   8.4   4.6
 13000  -6.4  20.5  255  44 23   5.8   3.2 |  -8.2  17.2  260  46 24   6.8   3.7
 12500  -5.6  21.9  255  38 20   6.1   3.3 |  -7.0  19.4  260  43 22   8.2   4.5
 12000  -4.7  23.5  250  32 17   6.7   3.6 |  -5.9  21.4  265  39 20   8.1   4.5
 11750  -4.2  24.4  245  30 15   5.7   3.1 |  -5.3  22.5  265  37 19   8.4   4.6
 11500  -3.9  25.0  245  28 14   4.1   2.2 |  -4.6  23.7  265  35 18   8.6   4.7
 11250  -3.6  25.5  240  25 13   4.5   2.4 |  -4.0  24.8  265  32 17   8.7   4.8
 11000  -3.2  26.2  240  23 12   4.5   2.5 |  -3.4  25.9  265  30 16   8.0   4.4
 10750  -2.8  27.0  235  22 11   7.3   4.0 |  -2.8  27.0  260  28 15   7.8   4.3
 10500  -2.2  28.0  230  21 11   9.4   5.1 |  -2.2  28.0  260  26 14   8.4   4.6
 10250  -1.5  29.3  230  20 11   8.9   4.9 |  -1.6  29.1  255  24 13   9.0   4.9
 10000  -0.8  30.6  230  20 10   9.6   5.3 |  -0.9  30.4  255  22 12   7.0   3.8
  9750  -0.0  32.0  225  19 10  11.4   6.2 |  -0.6  30.9  250  21 11   3.7   2.1
  9500   0.9  33.6  225  18  9  13.8   7.6 |  -0.4  31.3  250  18  9  -0.1  -0.1
  9250   2.0  35.6  225  15  8  16.2   8.9 |  -0.7  30.7  245  14  7  -5.4  -3.0
  9000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |  -0.9  30.4  240   9  5   4.0   2.2
  8750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC).  It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near Villa Grove, Colorado at:

                   North Latitude:  38 deg 16 min 03 sec
                   West Longitude: 105 deg 53 min 37 sec
                   Elevation: 7986 feet (2434 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

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