Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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501
UXUS97 KPUB 061214
SRGPUB

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0614 MDT Tuesday, May 6, 2025

This forecast is for Villa Grove, CO for Tuesday, May 6, 2025:

If the trigger temperature of 43.3 F/6.3 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 0 ft/min (0.0 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 12781 ft MSL (3836 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 43.0 F/6.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1415 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 10330 ft MSL (1384 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 05/07.... Poor

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:00:35 / 19:59:45 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 59 min 10 sec (839 min 10 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:00:10 MDT... 68.50 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/06/2025 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 9747 ft MSL (802 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 12308 ft MSL (3363 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 12506 ft MSL (3560 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +1.2
K index......................... +19.0

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -54.9 -66.8   210   11    6   0.9   0.5      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -53.5 -64.3   220   11    6  -1.0  -0.5      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -55.8 -68.4   195   41   21  -1.5  -0.8      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -55.5 -67.9   185   54   28   2.7   1.5      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -53.9 -65.0   170   70   36   2.7   1.5      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -52.0 -61.6   165   84   43   6.5   3.6      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -48.4 -55.1   165   58   30   6.0   3.3      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -43.9 -47.0   165   33   17   8.4   4.6   19.9  67.9    10.8      M    M
 29000  -41.4 -42.5   160   29   15   8.5   4.7   19.4  66.9    10.5      M    M
 28000  -38.8 -37.8   155   24   12   8.5   4.7   18.9  66.1    10.3      M    M
 27000  -36.3 -33.3   145   20   11   8.2   4.5   18.6  65.5    10.1      M    M
 26000  -33.9 -29.0   135   21   11   8.0   4.4   17.8  64.1     9.6      M    M
 25000  -31.5 -24.7   125   21   11   8.0   4.4   17.2  63.0     9.2      M    M
 24000  -29.1 -20.4   120   22   12   8.0   4.4   16.7  62.1     8.8      M    M
 23000  -26.8 -16.2   115   22   11   7.7   4.2   15.9  60.6     8.3      M    M
 22000  -24.5 -12.1   105   21   11   7.7   4.2   15.2  59.3     7.7      M    M
 21000  -22.2  -8.0   100   21   11   7.0   3.9   14.6  58.2     7.2      M    M
 20000  -20.3  -4.5   100   21   11   6.6   3.6   13.4  56.1     6.3      M    M
 19500  -19.3  -2.7   100   21   11   6.6   3.6   12.9  55.2     5.8      M    M
 19000  -18.3  -0.9   100   21   11   6.6   3.6   12.4  54.3     5.4      M    M
 18500  -17.3   0.9   100   21   11   6.6   3.6   11.9  53.4     5.0      M    M
 18000  -16.4   2.5   100   22   11   6.6   3.6   11.4  52.5     4.5      M    M
 17500  -15.4   4.3   100   22   11   6.5   3.6   10.8  51.5     4.0      M    M
 17000  -14.4   6.1   100   22   12   7.2   3.9   10.4  50.7     3.6      M    M
 16500  -13.4   7.9   105   22   11   7.2   3.9    9.9  49.9     3.2      M    M
 16000  -12.3   9.9   105   22   11   7.1   3.9    9.5  49.1     2.8      M    M
 15500  -11.3  11.7   105   21   11   7.0   3.9    9.1  48.3     2.4      M    M
 15000  -10.3  13.5   105   21   11   7.4   4.1    8.6  47.5     2.0      M    M
 14500   -9.1  15.6   105   20   10   8.8   4.8    8.4  47.1     1.7      M    M
 14000   -8.0  17.6   105   20   10   5.0   2.8    8.0  46.4     1.3      M    M
 13500   -6.6  20.1   105   19   10   7.3   4.0    7.2  45.0     0.5      M    M
 13000   -5.6  21.9   110   19   10   6.8   3.7    6.8  44.3     0.1      M    M
 12500   -4.5  23.9   110   18    9   6.8   3.7    6.4  43.5    -0.4    338  1.7
 12000   -3.5  25.7   110   18    9   4.6   2.5    6.0  42.7    -0.8    293  1.5
 11750   -3.3  26.1   110   17    9   4.5   2.5    5.5  41.8    -1.3    279  1.4
 11500   -2.8  27.0   105   17    9   7.4   4.0    5.2  41.4    -1.6    257  1.3
 11250   -2.4  27.7   100   17    9   7.1   3.9    5.0  41.0    -1.8    235  1.2
 11000   -1.9  28.6   095   16    8   5.3   2.9    4.8  40.6    -2.1    213  1.1
 10750   -1.6  29.1   090   16    8   4.3   2.4    4.4  39.8    -2.5    197  1.0
 10500   -1.2  29.8   085   15    8   5.9   3.2    4.0  39.2    -2.9    178  0.9
 10250   -0.8  30.6   080   14    7   5.6   3.1    3.7  38.7    -3.2    158  0.8
 10000   -0.4  31.3   070   14    7   6.3   3.4    3.4  38.2    -3.5    139  0.7
  9750    0.1  32.2   065   14    7   7.0   3.8    3.2  37.8    -3.8    117  0.6
  9500    0.6  33.1   065   13    7   7.4   4.1    3.0  37.4    -4.0     94  0.5
  9250    1.2  34.2   060   11    6   9.4   5.2    2.9  37.2    -4.2     69  0.4
  9000    2.0  35.6   055    8    4  13.5   7.4    3.0  37.4    -4.1     37  0.2
  8750      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8000      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           05/06/2025 at 0900 MDT          |       05/06/2025 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...   +22.9    LI...       +0.9        | CAPE...   +26.3    LI...       +0.6
CINH...    -0.5    K Index... +19.5        | CINH...     0.0    K Index... +16.9
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -55.4 -67.7  200  14  7   0.9   0.5 | -54.9 -66.8  180  16  8   1.1   0.6
 45000 -54.1 -65.4  180  16  8   0.8   0.4 | -53.2 -63.8  160  20 10   0.6   0.3
 40000 -53.1 -63.6  190  28 14   0.7   0.4 | -52.8 -63.0  160  13  7   0.3   0.2
 38000 -53.1 -63.6  175  36 19  -0.8  -0.4 | -53.0 -63.4  140  21 11  -0.9  -0.5
 36000 -53.5 -64.3  155  52 27  -0.8  -0.4 | -53.5 -64.3  130  40 21  -0.9  -0.5
 34000 -53.4 -64.1  145  66 34   8.9   4.9 | -52.8 -63.0  125  54 28   8.8   4.8
 32000 -48.2 -54.8  140  48 25   7.7   4.2 | -47.6 -53.7  120  44 23   8.7   4.8
 30000 -43.4 -46.1  135  34 17   8.3   4.6 | -42.5 -44.5  110  35 18   8.2   4.5
 29000 -40.9 -41.6  130  29 15   8.4   4.6 | -40.0 -40.0  105  34 17   8.3   4.5
 28000 -38.4 -37.1  125  25 13   8.4   4.6 | -37.5 -35.5  095  32 17   8.3   4.5
 27000 -35.9 -32.6  115  22 11   8.1   4.4 | -35.1 -31.2  085  32 16   8.1   4.4
 26000 -33.5 -28.3  115  22 11   7.9   4.4 | -32.3 -26.1  090  31 16   7.4   4.1
 25000 -31.2 -24.2  115  22 11   7.9   4.4 | -30.1 -22.2  090  30 15   7.4   4.1
 24000 -28.8 -19.8  115  22 11   8.0   4.4 | -27.9 -18.2  095  29 15   7.1   3.9
 23000 -26.4 -15.5  115  21 11   8.0   4.4 | -25.9 -14.6  090  28 15   6.8   3.7
 22000 -24.0 -11.2  120  19 10   8.0   4.4 | -23.9 -11.0  085  27 14   6.8   3.7
 21000 -21.7  -7.1  120  19 10   7.7   4.2 | -21.9  -7.4  080  27 14   7.0   3.8
 20000 -19.4  -2.9  115  22 11   7.6   4.2 | -19.8  -3.6  080  29 15   7.1   3.9
 19500 -18.3  -0.9  115  23 12   7.6   4.2 | -18.7  -1.7  080  30 15   7.1   3.9
 19000 -17.2   1.0  115  25 13   7.6   4.2 | -17.7   0.1  080  30 16   7.1   3.9
 18500 -16.1   3.0  115  26 13   7.1   3.9 | -16.7   1.9  080  31 16   7.0   3.9
 18000 -15.1   4.8  110  27 14   6.3   3.4 | -15.6   3.9  080  32 16   7.0   3.8
 17500 -14.2   6.4  110  27 14   6.3   3.5 | -14.6   5.7  080  32 17   7.0   3.8
 17000 -13.3   8.1  105  28 14   5.7   3.2 | -13.6   7.5  080  32 17   6.8   3.7
 16500 -12.5   9.5  100  29 15   5.8   3.2 | -12.6   9.3  080  33 17   6.8   3.7
 16000 -11.6  11.1  095  29 15   5.9   3.2 | -11.7  10.9  085  33 17   6.1   3.4
 15500 -10.7  12.7  095  29 15   6.0   3.3 | -10.8  12.6  085  34 17   6.0   3.3
 15000  -9.9  14.2  090  30 15   6.4   3.5 |  -9.9  14.2  085  34 17   6.3   3.5
 14500  -8.3  17.1  085  30 16   6.5   3.6 |  -9.0  15.8  085  34 17   7.1   3.9
 14000  -7.6  18.3  080  31 16   4.9   2.7 |  -8.1  17.4  085  34 17   4.3   2.4
 13500  -6.8  19.8  075  31 16   5.4   3.0 |  -7.4  18.7  090  34 18   6.1   3.4
 13000  -6.0  21.2  075  32 17   5.7   3.1 |  -6.5  20.3  090  34 18   7.2   4.0
 12500  -5.2  22.6  070  32 17   5.4   2.9 |  -5.6  21.9  090  35 18   5.1   2.8
 12000  -4.4  24.1  070  32 17   5.0   2.7 |  -4.4  24.1  090  34 18   3.1   1.7
 11750  -4.0  24.8  065  32 16   6.2   3.4 |  -4.3  24.3  090  33 17   2.0   1.1
 11500  -3.5  25.7  065  31 16   7.5   4.1 |  -4.1  24.6  090  31 16   3.6   2.0
 11250  -3.0  26.6  065  30 16   7.6   4.2 |  -3.8  25.2  090  30 15   3.3   1.8
 11000  -2.5  27.5  065  29 15   6.1   3.3 |  -3.6  25.5  085  28 14   2.9   1.6
 10750  -2.1  28.2  065  29 15   5.8   3.2 |  -3.3  26.1  085  26 14   5.0   2.8
 10500  -1.6  29.1  065  28 14   7.4   4.1 |  -2.8  27.0  085  25 13   7.9   4.3
 10250  -1.1  30.0  065  27 14   7.6   4.2 |  -2.3  27.9  085  23 12   7.9   4.3
 10000  -0.5  31.1  065  26 13   6.6   3.6 |  -1.7  28.9  080  21 11   8.1   4.4
  9750  -0.1  31.8  065  24 12   5.8   3.2 |  -1.1  30.0  080  20 10   8.7   4.8
  9500   0.3  32.5  060  21 11   5.8   3.2 |  -0.4  31.3  080  18  9  10.2   5.6
  9250   0.8  33.4  060  18  9   7.9   4.3 |   0.5  32.9  075  16  8  16.1   8.8
  9000   1.9  35.4  055  11  6  27.6  15.1 |   2.2  36.0  070  11  6  34.4  18.9
  8750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           05/06/2025 at 1500 MDT          |       05/06/2025 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...   +26.3    LI...       +0.5        | CAPE...   +21.4    LI...       +3.2
CINH...     0.0    K Index... +14.5        | CINH...     0.0    K Index... +13.4
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -54.2 -65.6  185  18  9   1.6   0.9 | -54.3 -65.7  215  15  8   1.2   0.7
 45000 -51.9 -61.4  170  18  9  -0.3  -0.2 | -52.5 -62.5  195  13  7  -0.1  -0.1
 40000 -53.9 -65.0  125  18  9  -1.3  -0.7 | -53.6 -64.5  090  16  8  -0.7  -0.4
 38000 -54.0 -65.2  115  28 14   0.8   0.4 | -53.7 -64.7  080  26 14   0.4   0.2
 36000 -53.5 -64.3  110  44 23   0.8   0.4 | -53.4 -64.1  075  39 20   0.4   0.2
 34000 -52.1 -61.8  105  54 28   8.4   4.6 | -52.2 -62.0  070  49 25   8.8   4.8
 32000 -47.3 -53.1  095  40 20   8.1   4.5 | -47.1 -52.8  065  42 22   8.6   4.7
 30000 -42.4 -44.3  080  29 15   8.4   4.6 | -42.2 -44.0  065  36 19   6.9   3.8
 29000 -39.8 -39.6  085  28 15   8.5   4.6 | -40.1 -40.2  065  33 17   7.0   3.8
 28000 -37.3 -35.1  085  27 14   8.5   4.6 | -38.0 -36.4  060  29 15   7.0   3.8
 27000 -34.8 -30.6  085  26 13   8.3   4.6 | -35.9 -32.6  060  26 13   7.1   3.9
 26000 -32.0 -25.6  090  27 14   7.4   4.0 | -33.2 -27.8  070  22 11   7.3   4.0
 25000 -29.8 -21.6  090  29 15   7.4   4.0 | -31.0 -23.8  085  20 11   7.4   4.0
 24000 -27.6 -17.7  090  30 16   7.1   3.9 | -28.8 -19.8  100  20 10   7.5   4.1
 23000 -25.7 -14.3  095  33 17   6.5   3.6 | -26.5 -15.7  100  20 10   7.6   4.2
 22000 -23.7 -10.7  095  35 18   6.6   3.6 | -24.3 -11.7  105  20 10   7.6   4.2
 21000 -21.8  -7.2  095  38 19   6.1   3.4 | -22.0  -7.6  105  20 10   7.0   3.9
 20000 -20.0  -4.0  095  38 19   6.0   3.3 | -20.0  -4.0  105  20 10   6.9   3.8
 19500 -19.1  -2.4  090  38 20   6.0   3.3 | -19.0  -2.2  105  20 10   6.9   3.8
 19000 -18.3  -0.9  090  38 20   6.0   3.3 | -18.0  -0.4  105  20 10   6.8   3.8
 18500 -17.4   0.7  090  38 20   6.4   3.5 | -17.0   1.4  105  20 10   6.2   3.4
 18000 -16.4   2.5  085  37 19   6.8   3.8 | -16.2   2.8  100  20 10   5.5   3.0
 17500 -15.4   4.3  085  35 18   6.9   3.8 | -15.4   4.3  100  21 11   5.7   3.1
 17000 -14.4   6.1  085  34 18   6.6   3.6 | -14.7   5.5  095  23 12   3.0   1.6
 16500 -13.4   7.9  080  34 17   6.6   3.6 | -14.3   6.3  090  25 13   3.2   1.8
 16000 -12.4   9.7  080  33 17   6.5   3.6 | -13.8   7.2  085  28 14   3.7   2.0
 15500 -11.5  11.3  075  33 17   6.4   3.5 | -13.2   8.2  085  31 16   3.9   2.2
 15000 -10.6  12.9  075  33 17   6.0   3.3 | -12.6   9.3  080  34 17   5.4   3.0
 14500  -9.8  14.4  075  33 17   5.3   2.9 | -11.6  11.1  080  35 18   7.7   4.2
 14000  -9.1  15.6  080  33 17   3.5   1.9 | -10.5  13.1  080  36 19   6.4   3.5
 13500  -8.5  16.7  080  33 17   5.0   2.7 |  -9.6  14.7  075  36 19   6.2   3.4
 13000  -7.8  18.0  080  33 17   4.7   2.6 |  -8.7  16.3  075  36 19   6.6   3.6
 12500  -6.8  19.8  085  30 16   4.6   2.5 |  -7.4  18.7  075  34 18   5.8   3.2
 12000  -6.1  21.0  085  28 14   3.6   2.0 |  -6.6  20.1  075  32 17   5.0   2.7
 11750  -5.9  21.4  080  26 14   3.9   2.1 |  -6.2  20.8  070  31 16   5.6   3.1
 11500  -5.5  22.1  080  25 13   5.1   2.8 |  -5.8  21.6  070  29 15   6.6   3.6
 11250  -5.2  22.6  080  23 12   4.9   2.7 |  -5.3  22.5  065  28 14   6.3   3.5
 11000  -4.8  23.4  080  21 11   4.3   2.4 |  -4.9  23.2  065  27 14   5.4   3.0
 10750  -4.5  23.9  075  21 11   5.5   3.0 |  -4.5  23.9  065  26 14   5.5   3.0
 10500  -4.0  24.8  070  19 10   7.7   4.2 |  -4.0  24.8  065  25 13   6.6   3.6
 10250  -3.5  25.7  065  18  9   7.8   4.3 |  -3.6  25.5  065  24 12   6.8   3.7
 10000  -2.9  26.8  060  17  9   8.3   4.6 |  -3.1  26.4  060  22 11   7.0   3.9
  9750  -2.3  27.9  060  15  8   9.1   5.0 |  -2.6  27.3  060  20 10   7.4   4.1
  9500  -1.6  29.1  055  14  7   9.7   5.3 |  -2.0  28.4  060  17  9   9.2   5.0
  9250  -0.7  30.7  055  12  6  16.2   8.9 |  -1.2  29.8  060  14  7  14.0   7.7
  9000   1.4  34.5  050   9  5  47.9  26.3 |   0.1  32.2  055   8  4  21.8  12.0
  8750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC).  It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near Villa Grove, Colorado at:

                   North Latitude:  38 deg 16 min 03 sec
                   West Longitude: 105 deg 53 min 37 sec
                   Elevation: 7986 feet (2434 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

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