523
FNUS75 KPUB 101218
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Beulah Fire Slash Burn Sept 2024...Beulah Fire Protection District
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
618 AM MDT Tue Sep 10 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on September 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Mainly dry with general diurnal wind flow is expected during the next
36 hours. isolated storms will be possible mainly after 1500, with
gusty winds in and near storms. Rainfall will likely be brief and less
than 0.10 inches.

NOTE - winds will be picking up on Thursday and Critical Fire Weather
conditions could develop.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(35 percent), isolated thunderstorms
                    after 1500
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....81F.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West to northwest 3 to 6 mph until 1200,
                    then northeast 5 to 8 mph. Winds gusty
                    near thunderstorms after 1500.
Mixing height.......1000 ft agl until 0900. 10500 ft agl after
                    1000.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 11 mph until 1100, then north
                    around 7 mph until 1600, then east until 1700,
                    then south.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   11  14  11  16  20  25  31  37  43  53  63
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............54  57  60  69  76  78  79  79  80  80  79  77
RH..............56  51  48  36  27  25  23  23  23  23  24  26
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NE  NE  NE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 3.5 7.0 9.0 11  12  12  12  11  9.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   E   S
Transp wind spd.13  13  12  12  12  9   8   8   8   7   7   7
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100012  12  12  37  68  72  75  81  81  69  65  54

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(66 percent) until 0400, then
                    partly cloudy(47 percent).
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....52F.
Max humidity........60-65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West 4 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft agl until 1900, then 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........73  75  78  80  76  71  67  62  57  52  49  46
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  71  66  62  59  59  59  57  56  55  53  53
RH..............29  35  43  51  56  56  56  57  59  60  63  62
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   12  12  12  10  10  10  8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  W
Transp wind spd.9   13  12  13  13  10  10  9   8   7   7   9
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100030  13  11  12  12  10  9   9   7   6   6   7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(41 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Max temperature.....80F.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West 3 ti 6 mph until 0900 then north 3 to 6
                    mph until 1200, then southeast 4 to 0 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms after 1500.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl until 1000. 5000 ft agl after 1100.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph until 1400, then southwest
                    around 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........43  36  28  21  26  31  36  42  47  53  58  62
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............52  52  59  68  75  77  79  78  77  76  74  73
RH..............63  65  54  40  32  29  27  28  30  32  34  37
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   N   N   N   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   5   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   6   6   6   9   9   9   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.5 6.0 9.0 7.5 6.5 5.0 4.5 4.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  W   W   W   S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.10  8   7   7   7   8   9   10  13  14  14  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10009   7   6   12  22  44  71  69  70  62  54  45

$$
Forecaster...HODANISH
Requested by...Bryan Ware
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422148.0/PUB
.DELDT 09/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0