Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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091
FNUS75 KPUB 181148
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Crystal Reservoir Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
548 AM MDT Sun May 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MDT on May 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

It will become windy today, with s-sw winds gusting 30-35 mph
beginning around 9 am and continuing through the day. Showers
and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening,
though the chance of wetting rainfall will be low. Less wind on
Monday, with a better chance of afternoon rain/snow showers and
a brief thunderstorm possible. Much cooler on Monday with higher
humidity as well.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(39 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1300.
Max temperature.....60F.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 13-17 mph. Gusts up to 32 mph
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after 1300.
Mixing height.......500 ft agl until 0800. 9500 ft agl after 0900.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 27 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800. Excellent after 1100.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  30  26  30  33  37  43  48  53  53  52
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............43  49  54  56  59  60  60  59  56  55  54
RH..............43  31  25  22  19  18  18  20  22  25  27
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  14  14  14  17  17  17  17  17  17
20 FT wind gust.17  17  28  28  28  30  30  30  32  32  32
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 2.5 5.5 7.0 8.5 11  13  12  11  9.5 8.5
Transp wind dir.S   SW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.13  18  23  25  28  32  35  31  28  26  28
SDspl kt-ft/10008   43  107 151 209 310 375 326 270 218 198

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(51 percent) until 1900, then
                    partly cloudy(40 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2100. Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2300.
Min temperature.....34F.
Max humidity........57-62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 12-16 mph. Gusts up to 32 mph early
                    in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms until 2100.
Mixing height.......5500 ft agl until 2000, then 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 1900, then good until 2000,
                    then fair until 2100, then poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........51  47  44  40  39  38  38  40  42  44  39  34
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW

Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
Temp............51  47  45  42  40  38  38  37  37  37  37  36
RH..............33  40  43  51  55  57  57  59  59  62  60  62
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..16  16  16  16  16  16  13  13  13  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.32  32  32  26  26  26  23  23  23  23  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...6.5 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.29  25  22  20  20  17  16  17  17  16  15  15
SDspl kt-ft/1000157 94  43  18  17  10  10  9   10  9   9   9

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(46 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1200 until 1500. Snow showers likely
                    after 1200. Chance of thunderstorms after 1500.
Max temperature.....48F.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 14 mph until 1200, then north
                    around 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms after 1200 until 1500. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    after 1500.
Mixing height.......1000 ft agl until 0800, then 3500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 13 mph until 1000. North
                    around 17 mph after 1700.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1400, then
                    poor until 1700, then fair.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  34  39  43  54  64  75  79  82  86  84  81
Weather cov.....                        LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                        SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Temp............35  37  39  42  43  43  44  42  43  43  42  42
RH..............62  53  48  41  39  39  38  44  46  49  50  51
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..14  14  14  13  13  13  12  12  12  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.23  23  23  20  20  20  17  17  17  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.5 3.0 4.5 5.0 4.5 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.5 3.0 3.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.14  15  13  13  13  12  14  13  14  14  16  17
SDspl kt-ft/10008   22  31  51  57  46  59  42  38  30  39  46

$$
Forecaster...PETERSEN
Requested by...Pike National Forest
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514196.0/PUB
.DELDT 05/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0