Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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Spot Forecast for Cuchara Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
430 AM MST Mon Nov 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MST on November 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Plan on cloudy and cool conditions to start the day, with partial
clearing expected through the afternoon. Winds will be on the
increase tonight through tomorrow as another upper system
approaches the state, and conditions will become windy on
Tuesday. Though it will be slightly warmer tomorrow, snow will
start to push in Tuesday night, and will likely be falling across
the burn site on Wednesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy early, then becoming mostly
                    sunny after 1100.
Max temperature.....36-39F.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West 4-7 mph until 1000, then west-southwest
                    6-9 mph gusting to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft agl until 1600, then 2500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1200, then
                    good.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  27  23  20  17  18  20  22  23  25  27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............25  30  35  36  38  39  39  39  37  35  30
RH..............74  60  47  45  42  39  39  39  42  43  51
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.9   9   13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.0 2.5 2.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  13  16  17  16  18  18  17  17  13  14
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100014  22  45  56  58  77  78  69  64  29  22

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (34 percent).
Min temperature.....26-29F.
Max humidity........61-66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10-15 mph. Gusts 35-45 mph
                    possible after 2100.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 33 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........24  22  19  24  28  32  32  31  30  37  43  49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............28  27  27  28  29  29  30  30  32  32  33  33
RH..............55  57  57  55  55  58  58  63  61  61  61  61
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  17  17  17  21  21  21  24  24  24
20 FT wind gust.24  24  24  33  33  33  40  40  40  46  46  46
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.16  22  24  25  29  29  30  31  32  32  35  33
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100024  29  32  33  37  37  39  40  42  43  46  43

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy in the morning, becoming mostly
                    cloudy after 1400.
Max temperature.....44-47F.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southwest winds 20-25 mph with frequent
                    gusts up to 50 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 38 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 0800, then good.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  32  32  37  43  48  52  55  58  59  59  60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............33  34  41  43  44  46  47  45  43  41  38  37
RH..............66  64  55  53  55  53  53  58  65  70  76  79
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..28  28  28  29  29  29  29  29  29  25  25  25
20 FT wind gust.52  52  52  53  53  53  52  52  52  48  48  48
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.35  32  35  39  43  45  45  46  46  43  38  35
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100047  56  76  98  115 130 128 128 126 110 93  80

$$
Forecaster...MOORE
Requested by...Alfonso Montoya
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427304.0/PUB
.DELDT 11/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0