906
FNUS75 KPUB 122147
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Lane 4 Fire...Fort Carson Fire
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
347 PM MDT Sat Oct 12 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 MDT on October 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions are expected through tomorrow for the point of
interest. A weak cool front will sag southward late this afternoon
to early evening, with forecasted time of arrival around 00z
Sunday October 13th. Winds will shift from the east-southeast/east
to become more northeasterly to northerly. Winds then Sunday
morning will shift to become southeasterly again and remain with
that component throughout the day. Even with the frontal passage,
winds will remain relatively light through the period of interest,
with sustained winds remaining around and less than 10 mph and
occasional gusts to around 16 to 18 mph. As for humidity, values
will increase tonight to around 50 percent, and then drop
steadily through Sunday, with afternoon values around 20 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny(52 percent).
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....84F.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 8 mph.
Mixing height.......11500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 1700, then good.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  55
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1
Temp............81  80
RH..............14  14
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   8
20 FT wind gust.13  13
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...13  9.5
Transp wind dir.W   W
Transp wind spd.10  8
Haines index....6   6
SDspl kt-ft/1000119 66

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(57 percent) until 2300, then
                    partly cloudy(38 percent).
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....46F.
Max humidity........46-51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 8 mph until 2100, then north
                    around 5 mph through 0500.
Mixing height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........58  59  60  62  53  44  35  35  34  34  33  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............77  71  67  64  62  58  56  55  53  52  50  49
RH..............17  20  24  27  29  32  36  38  41  42  46  47
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12  12  12  10  10  10  9   9   9
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   E   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  N   NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  12  9   9   7   7   7   7   6   6
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100010  4   5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   2   2

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(34 percent).
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....74F.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph until 1000, then southeast around 12
                    mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 11 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1500, then fair until 1600, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  32  33  33  33  34  34  35  36  36  36  36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  47  52  56  63  66  68  71  72  72  74  71
RH..............47  51  43  38  30  27  26  24  23  23  22  25
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   6   10  10  10  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   8   8   8   16  16  16  16  16  16
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   4   4   4   6   6   6   7   7   7
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   4   4   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 4.0 4.0 3.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.5   5   3   5   6   8   9   10  12  13  12  12
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10002   2   1   4   9   17  24  30  37  43  39  38

$$
Forecaster...SIMCOE
Requested by...Rowdy Carson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2424100.0/PUB
.DELDT 10/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0