Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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912
FNUS75 KPUB 211645
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Kee...Baca Grande Fire Dept
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
Issued by National Weather Service Riverton WY
945 AM MST Thu Nov 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on November 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

The weather pattern will remain quiet through Saturday. Light winds
and mostly sunny skies will continue through Saturday. Though winds
will be light (less than 5 mph), there will be a prevailing south-
westerly component to the wind. Temperatures will be on a slight
warming trend through Saturday. Relative Humidity will be in the
15 to 20 percent range during the day with good overnight
recoveries.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....45F.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West southwest around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  16  18  21  23  25  28  30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............34  38  41  43  45  43  42  35
RH..............40  34  30  28  27  29  30  40
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   8   8   8   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  W
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   7   8   7   5   5
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10009   12  17  16  19  13  6   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....19F.
Max humidity........69-74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West-southwest 3 to 4 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........27  24  21  20  20  19  22  24  27  22  17  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............32  31  30  29  28  27  25  24  23  23  21  20
RH..............45  47  51  51  53  53  60  62  68  65  71  74
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.5 1.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   5   7   7   7   7   7   6   7   6   6   5
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10005   5   8   8   8   8   8   7   8   7   7   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....49F.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest around 3 to 5 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph until 0700, then around 4 mph
                    until 1100, then west around 4 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  22  15  7   9   10  9   8   7   7   6   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............19  20  27  34  38  43  45  46  48  45  42  39
RH..............67  67  55  44  35  28  26  25  23  27  30  35
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   5   5   5   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   3   6   7   7   8   8   7   5   3
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10005   3   3   4   7   10  11  14  15  11  6   4

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 18. Highs around 50. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 40s.
Southwest winds around 13 mph.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow showers. Lows in
the lower 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...WFO Riverton
Requested by...Fire Chief
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427160.0/PUB
.DELDT 11/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0