678
FNUS75 KPUB 261124
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Cuchara Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
424 AM MST Tue Nov 26 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on November 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Strong westerly flow aloft at the burn site will transition down
to the surface through this afternoon and evening with gusts near
60 mph possible.  Periods of rain and snow will be possible through
this evening, becoming all snow overnight and prevailing through much
of the day on Wednesday.  Several inches of snow may be possible at the
burn site through Wednesday afternoon.  The strong winds will also
subside and turn northerly on Wednesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(45 percent) until 1700, then
                    mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow showers
                    after 1600.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....45F.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. Southwest winds 35-40 mph with gusts to
                    around 60 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 41 mph until 1600, then southwest
                    around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 0900, then very good until 1600,
                    then good.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  27  24  28  32  37  42  48  53  59  65  70
Weather cov.....                                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                                        RW  RS
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............38  40  42  43  44  45  45  45  45  44  43  42
RH..............50  48  45  45  45  45  47  49  51  53  55  60
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..38  38  38  39  39  39  38  38  38  33  33  33
20 FT wind gust.59  59  59  61  61  61  59  59  59  52  52  52
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.36  38  38  41  46  47  47  46  44  38  31  29
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100046  49  63  97  111 117 123 121 123 97  69  64

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and snow
                    showers until 2400, then snow likely.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....36F.
Max humidity........65-70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southwest winds 24-28 mph with gusts to
                    around 40 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 28 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900, then fair until 2400, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70  71  71  70  69  68  70  73  75  77  78  80
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF
Weather type....RS  RW  RW  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............41  40  39  39  39  39  39  38  38  37  37  37
RH..............62  64  67  67  67  70  67  70  70  70  70  70
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..28  28  28  26  26  26  26  26  26  23  23  23
20 FT wind gust.41  41  41  40  40  40  40  40  40  35  35  35
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.29  30  31  31  31  32  30  30  29  29  28  29
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100062  40  41  40  40  42  39  39  37  38  39  37

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Snow.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....36F.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 11-15 mph until 0900, then northwest
                    until 1200, then north around 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 13 mph until 1600, then north
                    around 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800, then fair until 1000, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........85  90  95  94  93  92  91  89  88  88  88  88
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............36  36  36  36  35  31  32  32  32  29  26  23
RH..............69  69  67  67  69  81  78  75  75  78  81  84
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  10  10  10  8   8   8   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.23  23  23  16  16  16  13  13  13  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.28  29  26  20  16  14  14  14  13  13  14  14
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100037  39  59  41  36  33  36  38  38  33  32  27

$$
Forecaster...MOZLEY
Requested by...Charles Boyles
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427347.0/PUB
.DELDT 11/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0