098
FNUS75 KPUB 241323
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Crystal Reservoir Rx...Pike National Forest
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
723 AM MDT Sat May 24 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on May 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms possible this afternoon at the burn
site.  They could become strong, with large hail and strong wind
gusts.  Rain is expected overnight.  Winds will generally remain
southerly to southeasterly today and tonight.  Another round of
afternoon thunderstorms is expected on Sunday at the burn site.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(45 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200, then rain showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....65F.
Min humidity........26-31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South 4-8 mph until 1200, then southeast around 10
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl until 1000, then 6500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 19 mph until 1700, then around 20
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1100.

TIME (MDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  25  34  44  53  55  56  58  63  68
Weather cov.....        SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............53  58  61  63  64  65  65  65  64  61
RH..............48  36  33  31  31  31  33  34  38  44
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   7   7   7   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.7   10  10  10  15  15  15  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 3.0 4.5 6.0 7.0 7.5 7.5 8.0 6.5 5.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   12  13  14  15  18  20  20  20  20
SDspl kt-ft/100010  31  48  73  90  116 126 133 108 82

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms until
                    2400. Rain showers likely.
Min temperature.....42F.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 9 mph until 2100, then
                    south near 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........73  76  79  82  75  68  61  64  69  73  75  77
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............57  54  50  48  47  44  43  43  43  43  42  42
RH..............55  64  77  86  89  100 100 100 100 96  100 100
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  10  10  10  9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.18  14  12  10  10  9   8   8   8   9   7   7
SDspl kt-ft/100050  28  14  9   8   6   5   5   7   9   6   6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then rain
                    showers with thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....53F.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 5 to 8 mph until 0900, then southeast around 12
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1400, then fair until 1600, then
                    poor.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........78  77  76  75  78  81  85  83  82  80  80  81
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Temp............42  42  45  47  51  53  53  53  53  53  51  50
RH..............100 100 89  83  71  66  66  66  69  69  74  77
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   8   8   8   12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   13  13  13  17  17  17  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.0
Transp wind dir.SE  E   SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   6   7   8   12  12  13  15  17  20  20  18
SDspl kt-ft/10006   7   10  12  18  22  30  37  41  44  40  33

$$
Forecaster...MOZLEY
Requested by...Christina Barba
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513976.5/PUB
.DELDT 05/24/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0