Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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Spot Forecast for Schrader Creek Fire...USFS RGNF
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
639 AM MDT Tue Jul 21 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on July 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

The burn area will see increasing chances of daily shower and
thunderstorm activity through the rest of the week, as modest south
to southeast flow aloft becomes west to southwest, ushering in another
surge of monsoon moisture from the Desert Southwest. This will also
bring an increasing concern for heavy rainfall and localized flash
flooding.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 1300, then Partly cloudy
                    (50 percent). Slight chance of rain showers and
                    thunderstorms after 1300 until 1500, then
                    chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....71F.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North 3-7 mph until 0900, then east around 13 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1300.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl until 0900, then 8500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 6 mph until 0800, then east
                    around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800. Very good after 1000.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  10  7   4   13  21  29  31  32  34  41  48
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Temp............52  54  58  62  64  65  67  70  71  71  71  70
RH..............59  55  50  46  42  39  36  32  30  29  30  31
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   12  12  12  13  13  13  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  17  17  17  20  20  20  18  18  18
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   7   7   7   8   8   8   7   7   7
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   6   6   10  10  10  12  12  12  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 2.0 4.0 5.5 6.5 7.5 9.0 9.0 9.5 8.0 8.0
Transp wind dir.N   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   10  16  20  21  21  18  18  18  15  15
SDspl kt-ft/10003   3   19  57  98  121 136 141 140 149 105 104

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(64 percent) until 0100, then
                    partly cloudy(41 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min temperature.....53F.
Max humidity........66-71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 10 mph until 2100, then
                    southwest 4-8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms until 2100Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after 2100
                    until 2400.
Mixing height.......6000 ft agl until 2000, then 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph until 0100, then southwest
                    around 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2000, then poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........56  63  69  76  68  60  52  47  42  36  37  37
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Temp............68  67  64  61  60  59  58  57  57  56  55  53
RH..............33  37  43  50  51  55  57  62  62  64  66  71
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.24  24  24  16  16  16  14  14  14  13  13  13
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.6   6   6   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.14  14  14  10  10  10  8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...7.0 4.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW  S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.15  16  10  8   7   10  12  10  10  10  9   9
SDspl kt-ft/100092  66  7   5   4   6   6   6   6   6   5   5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (46 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
                    and thunderstorms after 0900 until 1200, then
                    rain showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....67F.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 6-12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after 0900.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl until 0900, then 6500 ft agl until
                    1600, then 3500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1100, then
                    good until 1600, then poor.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  34  31  28  46  64  82  80  78  76  75  74
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Temp............53  55  57  60  63  66  66  66  66  66  67  66
RH..............69  66  62  55  50  43  43  45  45  45  43  45
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   5   7   7   7   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12  12  12  14  14  14  20  20  20
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 2.0 3.5 5.0 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.0 6.0 3.5 3.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   9   12  13  13  14  13  10  10  12  12  14
SDspl kt-ft/10004   5   21  41  57  76  73  58  55  61  37  35

$$
Forecaster...WANKOWSKI
Requested by...Lucas Pettigrew
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617768.1/PUB
.DELDT 07/21/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0