988
FXUS65 KPUB 200457
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
957 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- An incoming system will bring snow to the mountain peaks and rain
showers to the lower elevations, through Friday morning.

- Unsettled once again late Sunday into Monday. Temperatures
  remain generally cool.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 237 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025

A deepening low pressure system continues pushing towards our area
from the west. Through the rest of today and into tonight, the
system will move into the Four Corners Region, with increasing south-
southwest flow aloft.

Cloud cover will continue spreading over the region, keeping
overnight low temperatures somewhat warm with mid-upper 30s over the
plains, while the valleys sink into the 20s. Snow showers will
initially spread later tonight over the San Juans before spreading
to the rest of the higher terrain early Thursday morning. Snow
levels still look to remain above 8kft through the duration of this
event, so the lower elevations are still expected to only receive
rain. As for snow totals over the mountain peaks, the San Juans and
the peaks of the southern Sangres will net the highest accumulation
totals around 7-10 inches. The northern Sangres, as well as the
Mosquitos and Sawatch Range, should both see 3-6 inches. The lower
slopes above 8kft currently should only expect an inch or two.

Winter Weather Advisories will come into effect Tonight across the
San Juans and the peaks of the Sangres, with a new one over the top
of Pikes Peak starting at 11am Thursday, with up to 8 inches or so
of snow possible.

Meanwhile, beneficial rain will fall over the eastern plains, with
heavier showers further east towards the KS border. Some areas may
see 1/3" to 1/2" of total liquid precipitation by the end of the day
on Friday.

Impact-wise, while not much snow is expected over the Palmer Divide,
some light accumulations could present briefly slick road conditions
Thursday evening into early Friday. Hazardous travel will also be
possible over the mountain passes throughout the duration of the
incoming snowfall.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 202 AM MST Wed Nov 19 2025


Precip over the region will end during the day Friday. It will be
cool Friday with highs only in the 50s.

Saturday should be seasonable and dry.

Sunday, and into early next week, another colder weather system come
into the region. At this time there is still a bit of uncertainty
with this system, and it does look like a cooler, but drier, weather
disturbance. Overall, at this time expect unsettled, cool conditions
early next week. With this system being colder, there will be better
chance of snow over lower elevations.

Midweek should be on the cool side of things, with snow showers over
the central mtns with NW mid level wind flow. /Hodanish

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 951 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025

Mid and high based VFR cigs will gradually spread over all three
TAF sites with lowering bases tonight through Thursday morning.
Conditions will enter MVFR category around 14Z Thu at KALS as
showers spread up from the south at times through the day. There
could be a brief mix with snow after 02z at KALS though warm
temperatures should prevent an accumulations with precipitation
pulling back to the valley edges towards the end of the TAF
valid period.

KCOS and KPUB will see showers hold off until after 18z Thu with
MVFR conditions associated with -SHRA cigs after 21-22z.
Precipitation type should remain all rain with east winds
increasing during the afternoon and shifting to the north to
northeast during the evening.  -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM MST Thursday for COZ068.
Winter Weather Advisory from 5 AM Thursday to 5 AM MST Friday
for COZ073-075.
Winter Weather Advisory from 11 AM Thursday to 5 AM MST Friday
for COZ082.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...KT