704
FXUS65 KPUB 272131
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
231 PM MST Thu Nov 27 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures still on tap for Friday, then a
  quick blast of wintry weather for Friday night through Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 230 PM MST Thu Nov 27 2025

Rest of Today through Friday...

Calm conditions persist over the area this afternoon, with breezy
northwest flow aloft. The area will remain dry overnight tonight,
with lows in the teens-20s with increasing cloud cover.

On Friday, a broad upper trough will begin moving down from the
north, bringing out next notable pattern shift. Most of the day will
be warmer than average with some dry downsloping and an increasing
pressure gradient. Highs across the area will be in the 50s-60s,
with the valleys mostly sitting in the high-40s. Winds will start to
pick up later in the day, along with POPs over the Continental
Divide, as the upper trough moves past from the northwest.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 300 AM MST Thu Nov 27 2025

Friday night through Monday...The approaching system and associated
arctic cold front will quickly move across the Rocky Mt region
Friday night through Saturday morning, ushering in colder air and
limited precipitation, at least initially. With a more northern
track expected, this system really will favor the northern Colorado
mts, with the best precip chances for our forecast area being the
central mts and Palmer Divide. Remaining mts and adjacent plains may
see some isolated showers overnight into Sat morning, but again the
initial piece of this upper feature should move through quickly.
Brisk and cold north to northwest flow aloft will settle in for Sat
evening through Sun morning, then the next quick-moving, but
stronger, upper disturbance crosses Colorado through Monday. This
will bring a reinforcing blast of cold air, but even though the
expected track is more favorable for mt snow, it is somewhat
moisture-starved. What this means is that even though accumulating
snow is likely, latest projections for snow totals have decreased.
At this point, looks like the SW mts may need a highlight for Sunday
and Monday, but this is about it. As for the I-25 Corridor, best
chances for some precip will come Sunday night.

As for temps, each night Sat through Mon are trending to be very
cold, with Sun still looking like the coldest day of the extended
period. However, temperature trends have been warming ever so
slightly over the past couple of days. Plan on highs Sat in the
upper 30s to mid 40s for the high valleys, and 30s to near 40F for
the plains. On Sun, temps will climb into the 30s to near 40F for
the high valleys, and upper 20s to upper 30s for the plains. Mon
will see widespread 30s.

Tuesday and Wednesday...Models point to continued unsettled
conditions into the middle of the next work week, with expected high
temps around 10 degrees below normal both days. Current trends show
a somewhat dry day for Tue, then returning mt snow for Wed. Stay
tuned as this will likely change. Moore

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1048 AM MST Thu Nov 27 2025

VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24 hours.
Winds will be light and diurnally driven with scattered mid to upper-
level clouds.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO