Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
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121 FXUS65 KPUB 252123 AFDPUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 223 PM MST Tue Nov 25 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry conditions with near normal temperatures Wednesday and Thanksgiving, then above normal temperatures for Friday. - Incoming pattern change starts Friday night and lasts into Monday, with significantly colder temperatures and increasing chances for precipitation. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 208 PM MST Tue Nov 25 2025 Currently...cool conditions have settled across most of southern Colorado this afternoon. Temperatures range from the 30s to 40s for the lower elevations. Brisk, north winds continue with gusts near 30 mph near the Kansas border. Tonight...broad northwesterly flow aloft will continue through the overnight period with weak energy moving across southern Colorado. This will lead to high level cloud cover overnight. Temperatures will be cold with mid teens to lower 20s by Wednesday morning. Model guidance is developing areas of fog across the San Luis Valley overnight, which will produce reduced visibilities where it can develop. Wednesday...northwest flow aloft continues as upper ridging begins to build in from the west. Temperatures look to warm with lee slope areas in the mid 50s, while the rest of the Plains sees upper 40s to lower 50s. The cool spot with be the San Luis Valley with upper 30s for northern portions of the valley, and mid 40s to the south. Given the weak energy continuing in the northwest flow a stray snow flurry could be possible over the Central Mountains north of Leadville, but left the forecast dry as confidence in any meaningful precipitation is extremely low. Gusty winds will be present, with gusts in excess of 30 mph which may produce areas of blowing snow over the Central Mountains. Mozley && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... Issued at 301 AM MST Tue Nov 25 2025 Wednesday night through Friday...Dry conditions will persist through Thanksgiving and into the first half of Friday, as the dry northwest flow aloft begins to shift on Thu to a more westerly direction by Friday, ahead of an incoming system out of the Pacific NW. Seasonal temps are again forecast for Thanksgiving, then warm to above normal for Friday across the eastern plains as the westerly flow aloft translates to a warming downslope flow. There will be an increase in mid and high level cloudiness on Friday so there may not be much change to realized temps for the high valleys, and just a slight increase for the plains. Look for highs on Thanksgiving in the 40s to around 50F for the high valleys, and in the 50s for the plains. On Fri, expect readings in the 40s for the high valleys, and 50s to around 60F for the plains. Friday night through Monday...An approaching system out of the pacific NW will move into the Rocky Mt region by Friday night, as an associated surface cold front surges south across the plains. At this time it looks like there will be just some isolated showers across the northern half of the forecast area Friday night into Saturday, and highs on Saturday will only warm into the 30s to around 40F. The northern stream aloft will keep cool air in place across the state, and another quick-moving upper disturbance sweeps across the area Sunday into Monday. This reinforcing blast of Winter will drop high temps on Sunday by 5 degrees compared to the day before, then Sunday night will drop into the 5 to 15 degree range for most spots, followed by a very cold Monday when temps may not even crack above freezing. as for precipitation chances, snow potential ramps up across the higher terrain starting Sat night, then by Mon the temps will be cold enough for some isolated light snow across the plains. Stay tuned as storm track and strength develop over the next couple of days. Moore && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1006 AM MST Tue Nov 25 2025 KALS...VFR conditions through much of the period. Fog will once again be possible overnight into Wednesday morning with reduced CIGS and VIS. KCOS and KPUB...VFR conditions through the forecast period with southerly winds near 10 kts into this afternoon, weakening and shifting easterly this evening into Wednesday morning. Mozley && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...MOZLEY LONG TERM...MOORE AVIATION...MOZLEY