800
FXUS65 KPUB 261705
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1005 AM MST Wed Nov 26 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near normal temperatures are dry weather expected for our
  Wednesday.

- Dry with seasonal temperatures for Thanksgiving, then above
  normal temperatures for Friday.

- Pattern change for Friday night through Monday, with
  significantly colder temperatures and increasing chances for
  precipitation.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 300 AM MST Wed Nov 26 2025

Currently..

Drainage winds have developed as of 1 AM, which are helping to push
lower cloud decks east of I-25 early this morning. Temperatures
across El Paso County have fallen into the low teens and low 20s
already this hour, and very efficient cooling is expected to
continue across the plains as conditions clear through what`s left
of the early morning. Dewpoints are in the teens and low 20s.

Today and Tonight..

Northwest flow aloft continues throughout the day today as ridging
builds to our west. This will allow us to warm up to near normal
temperatures for daytime highs, with readings in the mid 40s for
mountain valleys, and upper 40s to mid 50s for our plains. Our
warmest spots will be right along our mountain adjacent plains
through Canon City, Walsenburg, and Trinidad, where downsloping will
be strongest, and temperatures may warm into the middle and even
upper 50s depending on cloud cover. Winds will be fairly weak over
our plains today, with gusts to 35 mph or so expected over the high
country. Overnight lows will be near seasonal as well, with
temperatures dipping down into the teens for mountain valleys, and
20s across the plains.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 300 AM MST Wed Nov 26 2025

Thanksgiving...Upper ridge will gradually slide across the Four
Corners region, with generally light surface flow and late day
increase n high level cloudiness. Dry conditions will prevail, with
seasonal high temps in the 40s to around 50F for the high valleys,
and upper 40s to mid 50s for the plains.

Thursday night and Friday...Dry conditions continue into the first
half of Friday, as the flow aloft becomes more westerly ahead of an
incoming system dropping down across the Intermountain West.
Increasing westerly flow aloft will mean a warming downslope flow
across the I-25 Corridor and adjacent plains, leading to above
normal high temps for Friday. A good amount of mid and high level
cloudiness is forecast however, so the high valleys will likely see
little change in temps from day to day. Plan on highs in the mid 40s
to lower 50s for the high valleys, and mid 50s to lower 60s for the
plains.

Friday night through Monday...The approaching system and associated
arctic cold front will quickly move across the Rocky Mt region
Friday night through Saturday morning, ushering in much colder temps
as well as some isolated to possibly low-end scattered precipitation
chances for the northern portions of the forecast area. This system
really will favor the northern half of Colorado, with the best
precip chances north of the forecast area, but there will be some
bleed-over with the central mts and Palmer Divide being the favored
areas. Northerly flow aloft will keep cold air in place, then
another quick-moving upper disturbance crosses the Great Basin
Sunday morning, crossing CO Sunday eve through Monday and bringing a
reinforcing blast of colder air as well as better snow chances for
the mts, high valleys, and maybe even the plains. However, latest
model runs are not as confident as solutions were 24 hours ago, and
precip chances have been gradually eased back. Still, forecast snow
amounts this far out indicate a possible need for some highlights
over the mts late Sat night through Mon, so stay tuned.

As for temps, Sat night and Sun night are trending to be very cold
nights, with Sun now looking like the coldest day of the extended
period. Plan on highs Sat in the mid 30s to lower 40s for the high
valleys, and upper 20s to near 40F for the plains. On Sun, temps
will only warm into the mid 20s to mid 30s for most locations, and
Mon will see widespread 30s.

Tuesday...Models indicate temporary ridging aloft across the Great
Basin and Four Corners region for Tue, leading to dry conditions and
warmer temperatures, though readings will still be nearly 10 degrees
below normal for this time of year. Moore

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1003 AM MST Wed Nov 26 2025

VFR conditions at all three terminals (KALS, KCOS, KPUB) through
the next 24 hours with passing high level clouds. Winds will be
light at less than 10 kts.  Mozley

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...EHR
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...MOZLEY