463
FXUS65 KPUB 072050
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
250 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry and seasonable weather will continue through the next 24
  hours.

- Warm and dry with increasing fire danger into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 247 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Today and Tonight...

Upper ridging will continue building in over our region and just to
our west today, giving us warm, dry, and generally quiet weather
across SE Colorado. Today`s high temperatures will warm a bit from
yesterday, with mid-high 50s over the high valleys and mid-high 60s
over the eastern plains. The area should remain dry and skies should
remain mostly clear, aside from some passing high level clouds. Low
temperatures overnight will be in the 30s for the plains and 20 in
the valleys.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 247 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Tuesday night-Wednesday night...Increasing west to northwest flow
remains progged across the region as short wave energy translates
across the Northern Tier. Model data continues to support good
mixing leading to breezy northwest winds over and near the higher
terrain through the afternoon, with winds shifting to east across
the plains, as the passing northern stream system sends a weak cold
front across the Plains. Timing of this front remains in question,
however latest higher res data brings a quicker wind shift and
enough cooling to keep critical fire weather conditions further west
across the San Luis Valley (FWZ 224) and the gap prone areas near
Walsenburg (FWZ 229) where Fire Weather Watches have been issued.
Latest fuel status does not indicate critical fuels at this time
across Fremont County (FWZ 222) where meteorological conditions most
likely will be present on Wednesday. With the passing front, high
temperatures to at to slightly cooler than Tuesday across the plains
in the mid 60s to mid 70s, with highs mainly in the 40s and 50s
across the higher terrain and in the 50s and 60s across the high
mountain valleys.

Thursday-Friday...Upper level ridging is expected to build back
across the Rockies through the end of the work week. This will keep
dry weather in place with only spotty cortisol fire weather
conditions expected across portions of the high mountain valleys.
Temperatures at to slightly cooler than Wednesday are expected for
Thursday, with highs warming into the mid 70s to mid 80s across
the plains on Friday.

Saturday-Monday...Upper ridge flattens across the region through
the weekend, with increasing westerly flow bringing very warm
temperatures and more widespread critical fire weather conditions
to much of south central and southeast Colorado. High temperatures
may approach records on Saturday, with another passing cold front
on Sunday bringing a return of cooler, near seasonal temperatures on
Monday. Latest model data does indicate the potential for some
precipitation with this passing system Sunday night and Monday,
time will tell.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 247 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24
hours. Winds will generally stay around or under 10 knots.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday
evening for COZ224-229.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...MW
AVIATION...HODANISH