651
FNUS75 KPSR 090049
FWSPSR

Spot Forecast for Horseshoe Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
549 PM MST Fri May 8 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A very persistence forecast expected throughout the weekend as
hot and very dry conditions will prevail. The overall wind pattern
will follow the typical diurnal trends, with west to southwest
winds during the afternoon and evening hours followed by light
northerly winds during the overnight and early morning hours with
a switchover out of the east during the mid to late morning hours
prior to the westerly shift in the afternoon. Sustained wind
speeds throughout the entire period are expected to remain under
15 mph, however, occasional afternoon and early evening gusts
upwards of 20-25 mph will be common throughout the weekend. MinRH
values will hover near 10% while overnight recoveries will be poor
as MaxRHs only reach between 25-35%.


Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Areas of smoke through the
                    day.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 101.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 6 to 11 mph in the afternoon with
                    occasional afternoon gusts upwards of 20-25 mph.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Areas of smoke in the
                    evening.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the north up
                    to 5 mph overnight.


.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 104.
Min humidity........6-11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon with
                    occasional afternoon gusts upwards of 20 mph.

$$
Forecaster...GL
Requested by...Incident Commander
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613186.0/PSR
.DELDT 05/08/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov