Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
137 FNUS55 KPSR 090757 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1257 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 .DISCUSSION... Tropical moisture will quickly move into the region today bringing considerable clouds, elevated humidities, and chances for showers and isolated thunderstorms. Wetting rains today will mainly be possible across the western districts shifting to areawide on Friday. Rain may be moderate to heavy at times through Saturday. MinRHs of 30-40% are likely for today increasing further for Friday and Saturday. Easterly winds will persist across the eastern districts through Friday with some gusts upwards of 25 mph at times. Winds across the western districts should tend to favor the east today and then out of the north northeast tonight into Friday. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-092000- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 1257 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. slight chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................88-95. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................31-39 pct. * 24 hr trend..................21 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent west portion...10 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............19 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......2800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......East 13 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening. slight chance of thunderstorms . slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................72-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................58-76 pct. * 24 hr trend..................16 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent west portion...10 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............22 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................84-95. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................33-51 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent west portion...20 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............24 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......1200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......North 12 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Marginal. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 65-75. Highs 83-92. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 62-72. Highs 81-89. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60-70. Highs 79-88. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 58-68. Highs 78-86. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57-67. Highs 79-85. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-092000- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 1257 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 /1257 AM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. slight chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................90-95. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................34-39 pct. * 24 hr trend..................22 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............19 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........4700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........East 7 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening. slight chance of thunderstorms . slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................72-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................71-90 pct. * 24 hr trend..................20 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............19 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................84-90. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................48-61 pct. * 24 hr trend..................18 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph in the morning becoming south 30 to 40 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............22 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........3500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Northeast 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 62-76. Highs 88-93. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60-70. Highs 85-90. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58-67. Highs 84-89. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56-63. Highs 80-85. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54-61. Highs 79-84. $$ AZZ133-092000- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 1257 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................75-89. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................37-51 pct. * 24 hr trend..................20 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............21 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms . * Min Temperature.................60-75. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................56-76 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............16 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................78-92. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................31-46 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............19 percent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 57-71. Highs 71-85. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 54-68. Highs 66-80. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 54-67. Highs 64-78. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 51-66. Highs 68-81. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 51-64. Highs 70-83. $$ CAZ232-092000- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1257 AM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. slight chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................85-93. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................32-43 pct. * 24 hr trend..................21 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............22 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................71-77. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................71-84 pct. * 24 hr trend..................20 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............17 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................81-90. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................48-62 pct. * 24 hr trend..................18 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming east in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............19 percent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60-76. Highs 84-94. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 59-65. Highs 79-88. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55-64. Highs 78-88. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55-61. Highs 73-82. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54-61. Highs 74-83. $$ CAZ230-092000- Joshua Tree National Park- 1257 AM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. slight chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................75-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................34-42 pct. * 24 hr trend..................23 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph in the morning becoming 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............21 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening. slight chance of thunderstorms . slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................59-71. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................76-93 pct. * 24 hr trend..................33 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............19 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................74-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................51-62 pct. * 24 hr trend..................19 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............25 percent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 48-70. Highs 74-87. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 48-60. Highs 68-80. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 44-58. Highs 68-80. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-55. Highs 62-75. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-54. Highs 62-75. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Thursday October 15th through Saturday October 17th: Near to below normal temperatures and near to above median precipitation.