Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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790
FNUS55 KPSR 170917
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
217 AM MST Thu Sep 17 2026

.DISCUSSION...
Overall there are no fire weather concerns through the end of the
week. Lingering wet grounds and elevated surface moisture will
continue into Friday, but a drying trend will begin today,
initially aloft, followed by a more significant drying this
weekend. After showers dissipate/move out of the area this
morning, no additional rain is expected through at least the start
of next week. Minimum RH values this afternoon will be around
25-45%, with driest conditions in southeast CA. As drying
continues into Friday, min RHs will dip to 10-20% across
southeast CA and southwest AZ and 25-35% across south-central AZ.
Overnight recoveries will be highest tonight at 50-80%, then drop
to 30-70% (driest out near the Lower Colorado River) Friday
night. Winds will mostly follow typical diurnal patterns with
modest afternoon upslope/upvalley gustiness (15-25 mph).

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-172130-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
217 AM MST Thu Sep 17 2026

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................90-99.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................28-41 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................10 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............1 percent.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......5900 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southeast 4 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................72-82.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................54-74 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................14 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................95-101.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................18-28 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................13 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming southwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10000 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 5 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 72-82. Highs 96-103. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-82. Highs 96-103. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-81. Highs 96-103. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-81. Highs 95-103.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-82. Highs 97-104.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-172130-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
217 AM MST Thu Sep 17 2026 /217 AM PDT Thu Sep 17 2026/

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................97-102.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................26-34 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................6 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........7500 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 8 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................72-77.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Max Humidity....................50-64 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................18 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................98-103.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................11-18 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................14 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........7600 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........West 6 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 70-75. Highs 99-104. West winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-77. Highs 99-104. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-77. Highs 99-104. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70-75. Highs 98-103.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 71-77. Highs 100-105.

$$

AZZ133-172130-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
217 AM MST Thu Sep 17 2026

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms in the morning.
* Max Temperature.................76-90.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................41-58 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................30 percent in the morning
  becoming 0 percent in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............13 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................58-73.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................71-93 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................11 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............2 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................80-95.
*    24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................29-45 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................13 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming south in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............1 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 57-74. Highs 81-96. Northeast winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57-74. Highs 81-97. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 57-74. Highs 81-97. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56-74. Highs 80-97.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56-74. Highs 81-98.

$$

CAZ232-172130-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
217 AM PDT Thu Sep 17 2026

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................90-100.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................20-32 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................72-77.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................32-55 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................21 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................92-101.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................8-15 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................14 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 71-79. Highs 94-103. Northwest winds
10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-79. Highs 94-104. South winds
5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70-78. Highs 93-103. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 70-77. Highs 93-103.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 71-79. Highs 95-104.

$$

CAZ230-172130-
Joshua Tree National Park-
217 AM PDT Thu Sep 17 2026

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................78-93.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................21-28 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................62-71.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................37-45 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................28 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................80-93.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................13-17 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................10 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming southwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph in the
  morning becoming 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 63-73. Highs 82-95. Northwest winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64-74. Highs 83-97. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62-74. Highs 81-95. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 62-72. Highs 81-94.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 63-73. Highs 83-96.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Thursday September 24th through Saturday
September 26th: Above normal temperatures and near to above
median precipitation.