Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
160 FNUS55 KPSR 212112 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 212 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025 .DISCUSSION... Below normal temperatures and elevated moisture will remain in place keeping MinRHs in a 40-70% range following excellent overnight recovery greater than 80%. Locally gusty winds upwards of 20 mph will be possible at times, though weaker wind speeds will be more common through the period. A weather system will be moving mainly across the western districts today leading to very good chances for wetting rains with more scattered shower activity across the eastern districts beginning Saturday afternoon, with the last of the activity for the region expected by Sunday night. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-220915- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 212 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening. slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................50-60. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................69-93 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent west portion...0 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the morning. chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................64-72. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................38-60 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent west portion...10 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......1000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southeast 4 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Poor. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................49-59. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................86-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming south after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 20 to 30 mph in the evening becoming south 10 to 20 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...30 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning. * Max Temperature.................62-68. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................56-70 pct. * 24 hr trend..................16 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......2900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 3 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Marginal. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 64-70. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 66-71. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 68-74. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 70-75. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-56. Highs 70-75. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-220915- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 212 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025 /112 PM PST Fri Nov 21 2025/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Cloudy. Showers likely in the evening becoming chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................50-55. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................93-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming southeast 20 to 30 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................63-68. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................56-75 pct. * 24 hr trend..................14 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........1000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Northeast 7 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Poor. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of showers in the evening. * Min Temperature.................48-53. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................96-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming south after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 15 to 25 mph in the evening becoming 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny in the morning becoming sunny in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................66-71. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................55-63 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming north 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........2800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........West 4 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Poor. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-51. Highs 67-72. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-51. Highs 68-73. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-51. Highs 69-74. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-51. Highs 70-75. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-51. Highs 70-75. $$ AZZ133-220915- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 212 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................37-52. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................61-80 pct. * 24 hr trend..................23 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................58-71. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................33-44 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 30 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................39-52. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................86-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................24 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................90 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................90 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............18 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................47-60. * 24 hr trend..................10 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................64-86 pct. * 24 hr trend..................38 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............14 percent. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 31-47. Highs 53-64. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 31-48. Highs 57-69. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 32-49. Highs 59-72. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34-50. Highs 61-73. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 35-51. Highs 60-73. $$ CAZ232-220915- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 112 PM PST Fri Nov 21 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. showers likely . * Min Temperature.................49-56. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................83-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............8 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................59-68. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................50-70 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of showers in the evening. * Min Temperature.................49-55. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................72-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................63-72. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................46-62 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-55. Highs 64-72. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-55. Highs 65-74. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-56. Highs 66-75. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-56. Highs 67-76. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-56. Highs 67-75. $$ CAZ230-220915- Joshua Tree National Park- 112 PM PST Fri Nov 21 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Cloudy. Showers likely. * Min Temperature.................39-50. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................89-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the morning. slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................50-62. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................58-74 pct. * 24 hr trend..................19 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................41-51. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................71-86 pct. * 24 hr trend..................17 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 20 to 30 mph in the evening becoming northeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................55-66. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................48-61 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-49. Highs 56-66. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-49. Highs 55-66. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-50. Highs 57-68. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-51. Highs 60-69. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40-51. Highs 60-70. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Saturday November 29th through Monday December 1st: near normal temperatures and above median precipitation.