Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
321 FNUS55 KPSR 211011 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 311 AM MST Fri Nov 21 2025 .DISCUSSION... Below normal temperatures and elevated moisture will remain in place keeping MinRHs in a 40-70% range following excellent overnight recovery greater than 80%. Locally gusty winds upwards of 20 mph will be possible at times, though weaker wind speeds will be more common through the period. A weather system will be moving mainly across the western districts today leading to very good chances for wetting rains with more scattered shower activity across the eastern districts beginning Saturday afternoon. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-212215- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 311 AM MST Fri Nov 21 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the morning. showers likely in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................58-65. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................50-72 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 percent west portion...20 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......2800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Northeast 7 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Cloudy. Chance of showers. * Min Temperature.................49-59. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................74-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent west portion...10 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers . * Max Temperature.................61-70. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................42-72 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent west portion...20 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......East 4 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Poor. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 45-55. Highs 61-68. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 63-69. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 65-71. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 67-72. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 69-74. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-212215- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 311 AM MST Fri Nov 21 2025 /211 AM PST Fri Nov 21 2025/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning becoming showers likely in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................58-63. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................72-83 pct. * 24 hr trend..................38 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............11 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........East 14 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Marginal. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Cloudy. Showers likely in the evening becoming chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................50-55. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................96-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............6 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning becoming chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................61-66. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................65-81 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........1300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........West 7 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Poor. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-53. Highs 66-71. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-50. Highs 67-72. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-51. Highs 68-73. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-51. Highs 67-72. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-50. Highs 69-74. $$ AZZ133-212215- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 311 AM MST Fri Nov 21 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. * Max Temperature.................51-63. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................43-59 pct. * 24 hr trend..................24 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................37-53. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................62-80 pct. * 24 hr trend..................22 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................57-69. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................34-46 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 30 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 34-52. Highs 47-60. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 31-47. Highs 53-64. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 30-47. Highs 57-69. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 30-48. Highs 57-70. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 32-50. Highs 60-73. $$ CAZ232-212215- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 211 AM PST Fri Nov 21 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . showers likely in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................53-63. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................65-83 pct. * 24 hr trend..................36 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............11 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. showers likely . * Min Temperature.................49-56. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................80-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............8 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................57-66. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................58-78 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-55. Highs 63-72. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-55. Highs 64-72. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-55. Highs 65-74. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-55. Highs 65-75. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-56. Highs 67-76. $$ CAZ230-212215- Joshua Tree National Park- 211 AM PST Fri Nov 21 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning becoming showers likely in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................44-54. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................74-89 pct. * 24 hr trend..................35 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph in the morning becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............10 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Cloudy. Chance of showers. * Min Temperature.................39-50. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................89-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the morning becoming slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................48-60. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................64-80 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40-50. Highs 55-66. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40-49. Highs 56-67. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40-49. Highs 55-66. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-49. Highs 56-66. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-51. Highs 60-69. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday November 28th through Sunday November 30th: near normal temperatures and above median precipitation.