Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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FNUS55 KPSR 170727
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
1227 AM MST Mon Aug 17 2026

.DISCUSSION...
Above normal temperatures with fairly stable moisture levels are
expected early this week. Most lower desert communities will
reach or eclipse the 110 degree mark over the next several days.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are forecast for the
high terrain through Tuesday with an increase in monsoon activity
possible by Wednesday or Thursday. Afternoon MinRHs of 15-25% are
expected through Tuesday before increasing to 20-30% starting
Wednesday. Outside of thunderstorm winds, overall winds will
follow the typical diurnal tendencies with some modest afternoon
upslope gustiness.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-171930-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
1227 AM MST Mon Aug 17 2026

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................105-112.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................15-19 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming west in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning
  becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......12000 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 4 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................82-92.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................32-40 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening
  becoming east after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening
  becoming east 5 to 15 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................106-112.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................16-20 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming southwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning
  becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11100 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 4 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Marginal.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-92. Highs 104-110. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-92. Highs 105-111. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 82-92. Highs 105-112. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 82-92. Highs 105-111.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 81-91. Highs 103-110.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-171930-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
1227 AM MST Mon Aug 17 2026 /1227 AM PDT Mon Aug 17 2026/

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................108-113.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................15-20 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming southwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph in the morning
  becoming 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........12700 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 7 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature.................84-89.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................31-41 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the
  evening becoming 15 to 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................108-113.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................16-20 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning
  becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........7300 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 9 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 106-111. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 107-112. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 108-113. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 84-89. Highs 108-113.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 83-89. Highs 106-111.

$$

AZZ133-171930-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
1227 AM MST Mon Aug 17 2026

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny. Slight chance of showers
  and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................91-107.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................14-24 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming south in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming
  10 percent in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................66-83.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................38-59 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................90-107.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................16-26 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming southwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming
  10 percent in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............4 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67-84. Highs 91-106. North winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66-84. Highs 92-107. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66-83. Highs 92-107. Northeast winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66-83. Highs 92-107.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66-83. Highs 91-106.

$$

CAZ232-171930-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
1227 AM PDT Mon Aug 17 2026

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................103-112.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................14-21 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming south in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................84-90.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................26-40 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the evening
  becoming 15 to 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................103-113.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................14-20 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph in the morning
  becoming 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-90. Highs 102-111. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-90. Highs 102-111. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 84-90. Highs 102-112. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows
83-90. Highs 102-111.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 82-89. Highs 101-110.

$$

CAZ230-171930-
Joshua Tree National Park-
1227 AM PDT Mon Aug 17 2026

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................92-106.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................16-23 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming south in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature.................73-86.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................29-37 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening
  becoming south 10 to 20 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................93-107.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................15-22 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74-86. Highs 92-106. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74-87. Highs 92-106. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 73-87. Highs 92-106. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 72-86. Highs 91-105.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 72-85. Highs 90-104.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Monday August 24th through Wednesday
August 26th: Above normal temperatures and near to above median
precipitation.