Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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045
FNUS55 KPSR 231004
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
304 AM MST Sun Nov 23 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Below normal temperatures continue through Monday. The low
pressure system will continue to move northeastward across AZ
today resulting in scattered showers, mainly across the central
and eastern districts. Shower activity will come to and end by
this evening. MinRHs today will continue to be in the 40-75%
range with excellent overnight recovery of 80-100%. Dry and
tranquil conditions return to the region on Monday with minRHs
dropping slightly to 40-60%, but overnight recovery will remain
excellent. Locally gusty winds upwards of 20 mph will be possible
at times, though weaker wind speeds will be more common through
the period.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-232215-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
304 AM MST Sun Nov 23 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of
  thunderstorms in the morning. slight chance of showers .
* Max Temperature.................61-68.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................56-72 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...10
  percent east portion.
* Chance of Thunder...............5 percent.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......4100 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 6 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................47-57.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Max Humidity....................86-100 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Light and variable in the evening
  becoming mostly downslope/downvalley after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............1 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................64-71.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................49-63 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................8 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Light and variable in the morning
  becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......3400 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......Northwest 5 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Marginal.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 67-73. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 71-76. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 46-56. Highs 71-76. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 46-56. Highs 69-74.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 44-54. Highs 65-72.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-232215-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
304 AM MST Sun Nov 23 2025 /204 AM PST Sun Nov 23 2025/

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny in the morning
  becoming sunny in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................66-71.
*    24 hr trend..................9 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................55-65 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................6 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph in the morning
  becoming 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........2500 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 3 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Poor.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................46-51.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................96-100 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Light and variable in the evening
  becoming mostly downslope/downvalley after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................68-73.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................49-57 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........1700 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........Northwest 5 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Poor.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-51. Highs 70-75. North winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-53. Highs 71-76. North winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 42-53. Highs 71-76. North winds
5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-52. Highs 70-75.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 44-51. Highs 68-73.

$$

AZZ133-232215-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
304 AM MST Sun Nov 23 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers
  and slight chance of thunderstorms .
* Max Temperature.................47-61.
*    24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................66-89 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................39 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................60 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............13 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................34-47.
*    24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler.
* Max Humidity....................92-100 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Light and variable in the evening
  becoming mostly downslope/downvalley after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............3 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................54-65.
*    24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................53-71 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................16 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Light and variable in the morning
  becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 32-48. Highs 59-71. Northeast winds 5 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 32-51. Highs 59-73. Northeast
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 34-52. Highs 61-74. East winds
5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 36-52. Highs 60-72.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows
33-49. Highs 54-67.

$$

CAZ232-232215-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
204 AM PST Sun Nov 23 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................64-73.
*    24 hr trend..................9 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................47-62 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................9 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................48-55.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................69-100 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the evening
  becoming mostly downslope/downvalley after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................65-73.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................44-56 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-56. Highs 67-76. North winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-57. Highs 68-77. North winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 47-57. Highs 68-77. North winds
5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-56. Highs 68-77.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 45-54. Highs 63-73.

$$

CAZ230-232215-
Joshua Tree National Park-
204 AM PST Sun Nov 23 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................56-67.
*    24 hr trend..................7 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................45-60 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................16 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................41-49.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................63-79 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................14 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................57-68.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................41-52 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................6 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 41-50. Highs 58-69. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-51. Highs 59-70. North winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 44-51. Highs 61-70. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-51. Highs 60-71.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 35-49. Highs 53-65.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Sunday November 30th through Tuesday
December 2nd: below normal temperatures and above median
precipitation.