Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
514 FNUS55 KPSR 162046 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 146 PM MST Thu Jul 16 2026 .DISCUSSION... Shower and thunderstorms will increase over Arizona districts with lower chances spreading into western districts. Activity over south-central Arizona may produce widespread wetting rainfall and local flooding Friday morning with activity likely retreating into mountains of eastern Arizona Saturday. A few stronger wind gusts associated with storms is possible, but weaker than the past several days. Otherwise, minimum afternoon humidity levels will fall to 20-25% in western districts and only 30-50% elsewhere. following a wide ranging far to excellent overnight recovery. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-170900- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 146 PM MST Thu Jul 16 2026 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy in the evening becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................75-85. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................51-77 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent west portion...40 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............40 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................90-101. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................25-48 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent west portion...50 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............30 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......3600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 6 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Marginal. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................75-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................44-71 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming south 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................5 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning. * Max Temperature.................94-104. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................22-37 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................5 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............7 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 6 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 77-87. Highs 96-105. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 77-87. Highs 98-105. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 78-88. Highs 98-106. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 78-88. Highs 99-106. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 79-89. Highs 99-105. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-170900- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 146 PM MST Thu Jul 16 2026 /146 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................80-85. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................46-61 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............15 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................100-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................23-32 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................5 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............10 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southeast 13 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................80-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................41-59 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................101-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................21-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 7 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 81-86. Highs 103-108. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-86. Highs 103-108. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 80-85. Highs 104-109. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-86. Highs 103-108. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-86. Highs 102-107. $$ AZZ133-170900- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 146 PM MST Thu Jul 16 2026 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................60-75. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................66-90 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming light and variable after midnight. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............40 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................77-90. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................44-64 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............45 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the evening. slight chance of thunderstorms . chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................60-76. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................64-93 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming northeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............25 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. chance of showers . chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................78-92. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................40-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............40 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60-78. Highs 81-95. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60-78. Highs 81-96. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61-78. Highs 82-96. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62-79. Highs 84-98. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-81. Highs 85-99. $$ CAZ232-170900- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 146 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................81-87. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................43-70 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............7 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................97-107. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................23-31 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................5 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............7 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................81-86. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................37-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................97-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................20-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-87. Highs 99-109. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-87. Highs 99-109. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-87. Highs 100-110. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-87. Highs 99-110. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 82-87. Highs 98-108. $$ CAZ230-170900- Joshua Tree National Park- 146 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................71-83. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................45-59 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............7 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................86-100. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................25-35 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................5 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............10 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................70-83. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................39-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................88-101. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................22-30 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-84. Highs 89-103. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-84. Highs 89-103. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-83. Highs 90-104. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 71-84. Highs 89-103. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 72-84. Highs 88-102. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday July 24th through Sunday July 26th: Above normal temperatures and above median precipitation.