Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
381 FNUS55 KPSR 092131 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 231 PM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 .DISCUSSION... Rain chances will continue to ramp up across the region tonight and into Friday. Wetting rainfall will be focused primarily across the western districts tonight, shifting to southcentral AZ late Friday into Saturday. Rain may be moderate to heavy at times leading to localized flooding. MinRHs of 30-40% are likely for today increasing to 50% on Friday and Saturday. Easterly winds will persist across the eastern districts through Friday with some gusts upwards of 25-30 mph at times. Winds across the western districts will shift out of the northeast tonight into Friday. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-100945- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 231 PM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................73-83. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................56-71 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............11 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. chance of showers . chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................85-94. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................36-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent west portion...40 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............26 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......2500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......North 12 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................70-80. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................71-87 pct. * 24 hr trend..................18 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph in the evening becoming southwest 25 to 35 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............21 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning becoming showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................84-93. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................39-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent west portion...60 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............34 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 11 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 62-72. Highs 82-89. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60-70. Highs 81-89. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 56-67. Highs 78-86. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55-65. Highs 75-82. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54-64. Highs 75-83. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-100945- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 231 PM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 /231 PM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................73-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................67-84 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............18 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................84-89. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................48-55 pct. * 24 hr trend..................17 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............18 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southeast 8 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Poor. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................70-75. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................79-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............21 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................89-94. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................39-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............21 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 10 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59-69. Highs 85-90. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57-66. Highs 85-90. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54-63. Highs 79-84. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53-61. Highs 76-81. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 53-60. Highs 77-82. $$ AZZ133-100945- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 231 PM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................60-74. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................59-78 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............10 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................77-91. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................33-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............31 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. showers likely . slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................57-71. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................76-96 pct. * 24 hr trend..................18 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 15 to 25 mph in the evening becoming south 25 to 35 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............33 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. showers . chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................70-84. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................53-71 pct. * 24 hr trend..................22 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................90 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................90 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............47 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 54-69. Highs 67-81. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 54-67. Highs 65-80. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 53-67. Highs 67-81. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 49-64. Highs 66-79. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48-60. Highs 67-80. $$ CAZ232-100945- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 231 PM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................71-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................64-79 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............22 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................82-90. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................41-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph in the morning becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............15 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................69-76. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................76-93 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............21 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................84-94. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................22-39 pct. * 24 hr trend..................16 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............13 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 59-66. Highs 79-88. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 55-64. Highs 78-88. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54-61. Highs 72-82. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53-60. Highs 71-80. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 53-61. Highs 71-81. $$ CAZ230-100945- Joshua Tree National Park- 231 PM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening. slight chance of thunderstorms . slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................60-71. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................70-84 pct. * 24 hr trend..................26 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............20 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................75-86. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................44-53 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 30 to 40 mph in the morning becoming 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............17 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening becoming slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................57-70. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................81-96 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............16 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. slight chance of showers . * Max Temperature.................74-87. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................28-36 pct. * 24 hr trend..................17 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............9 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 48-59. Highs 68-80. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 44-58. Highs 67-81. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-55. Highs 61-75. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-54. Highs 60-72. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 42-55. Highs 60-73. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday October 16th through Sunday October 18th: Near to below normal temperatures and near to above median precipitation.