Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
633 FNUS55 KPSR 232144 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 244 PM MST Thu Jul 23 2026 .DISCUSSION... With temperatures warming above the seasonal normal, drier weather will prevail through Friday with only slight chances for isolated, short lived storms over mountains of eastern districts. Storm activity is expected to increase over the higher terrain on Saturday, but little to no activity is expected over the lower deserts. Despite the drier weather, minimum humidity levels will only fall into a 10-25% range following fair to good overnight recovery of 30-60%. Winds will be seasonally light with limited afternoon gusts, and no expected thunderstorm outflows. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-240945- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 244 PM MST Thu Jul 23 2026 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................86-96. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................35-43 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming south 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................109-116. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................15-19 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......14800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 5 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................86-96. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-39 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................111-117. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................13-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......13800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......North 5 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Marginal. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 82-92. Highs 104-110. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-91. Highs 101-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-91. Highs 102-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 82-92. Highs 104-110. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 82-92. Highs 105-111. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-240945- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 244 PM MST Thu Jul 23 2026 /244 PM PDT Thu Jul 23 2026/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................88-93. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................34-42 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming southeast 15 to 25 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................112-117. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................15-19 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........10100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 12 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................86-91. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................34-42 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................113-118. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........11300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 7 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 84-92. Highs 106-112. South winds 15 to 25 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 83-88. Highs 106-111. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 83-88. Highs 107-112. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 107-112. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 84-89. Highs 108-113. $$ AZZ133-240945- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 244 PM MST Thu Jul 23 2026 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................68-86. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................43-61 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming northeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................94-109. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................17-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................70-87. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................38-59 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming northeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................96-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................16-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 20 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............20 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-86. Highs 90-105. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65-83. Highs 88-102. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65-83. Highs 89-103. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65-83. Highs 91-105. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 66-85. Highs 92-107. $$ CAZ232-240945- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 244 PM PDT Thu Jul 23 2026 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................88-94. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................29-44 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-117. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................87-92. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................29-42 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................108-119. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................13-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 83-93. Highs 103-113. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 83-89. Highs 102-112. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-89. Highs 103-113. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 84-89. Highs 103-113. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 84-90. Highs 104-114. $$ CAZ230-240945- Joshua Tree National Park- 244 PM PDT Thu Jul 23 2026 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................79-90. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................31-40 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................97-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................15-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................77-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................31-38 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................98-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................13-19 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-89. Highs 95-108. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74-86. Highs 93-106. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74-86. Highs 94-107. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74-86. Highs 94-107. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-87. Highs 95-108. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday July 31st through Sunday August 2nd: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.