Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
720 FNUS55 KPSR 160729 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1229 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 .DISCUSSION... A weather system will continue to move through the region today bringing cooler temperatures, increased humidities, and shower activity across the eastern districts. A few isolated thunderstorms will be possible for the eastern districts producing isolated heavier rainfall amounts. Monday will bring quieter weather conditions, but still with a chance of isolated showers. Minimum humidity values will range between 40-70% areawide through Monday with good to excellent overnight recoveries. Locally gusty winds upwards of 25 mph will be possible through this afternoon with overall light winds tonight and Monday. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-161930- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 1229 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................66-74. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................36-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 30 to 40 mph in the morning becoming 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...20 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......6500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 15 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................49-59. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................74-96 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................67-74. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................42-53 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......4700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 45-58. Highs 60-66. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 44-54. Highs 58-65. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 44-54. Highs 59-66. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-55. Highs 60-67. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 45-55. Highs 64-70. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-161930- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 1229 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 /1129 PM PST Sat Nov 15 2025/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................69-74. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................41-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................16 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........West 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................49-55. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................83-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph in the evening becoming 10 to 20 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................68-73. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................41-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........4200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 6 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 45-57. Highs 63-68. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 43-50. Highs 62-67. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 43-51. Highs 64-69. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-51. Highs 64-69. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 43-51. Highs 66-71. $$ AZZ133-161930- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 1229 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................55-68. * 24 hr trend..................13 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................50-72 pct. * 24 hr trend..................36 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 35 to 45 mph. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............14 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................38-52. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................80-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming mostly downslope/downvalley after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................54-68. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................47-65 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 38-55. Highs 51-63. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 34-50. Highs 45-58. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 30-46. Highs 45-59. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 30-48. Highs 48-61. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 33-48. Highs 54-66. $$ CAZ232-161930- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1129 PM PST Sat Nov 15 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning. * Max Temperature.................63-75. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................37-57 pct. * 24 hr trend..................17 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 0 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................49-56. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................69-93 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................63-73. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................37-57 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 44-56. Highs 58-69. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 44-52. Highs 58-68. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 44-53. Highs 59-70. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 46-55. Highs 59-69. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 47-55. Highs 62-72. $$ CAZ230-161930- Joshua Tree National Park- 1129 PM PST Sat Nov 15 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning. * Max Temperature.................50-66. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................46-74 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the morning becoming 0 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................39-49. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................77-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................51-65. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................48-71 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 35-48. Highs 46-60. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 35-44. Highs 48-59. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 36-47. Highs 49-60. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 37-47. Highs 48-59. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 37-48. Highs 52-63. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Sunday November 23rd through Tuesday November 25th: Below normal temperatures and above median precipitation.