


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
904 FXZS60 NSTU 200003 AFDPPG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pago Pago AS 103 PM SST Sat Apr 19 2025 .Short term... Showers and thunderstorms continue to diminish, with satellite data showing less convection west of the Islands compared to yesterday`s organized trough. Although the flooding risk has decreased for American Samoa, model data suggests an uptick in showers tonight through Sunday as showers to the west moves over the Islands. Hence, numerous showers will remain in the forecast for this duration. Winds will remain below 15 mph tonight, decreasing to 10 mph early next week. .Long term... The aforementioned trough will weaken in the area Monday as a strong ridge builds near New Zealand. This pattern will shift winds south by Tuesday, reaching 10 to 15 mph through Wednesday. Meanwhile, a weak trough is forecast to develop over the Samoa Island chain, bringing scattered to numerous showers for most of the new week. && .Marine... A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect due to seas reaching 8 feet, caused by a southeast swell. Despite light winds, the advisory is in please do to observed wave heights. These swells will persist through Wednesday before gradually subsiding. .PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Small Craft Advisory && $$ TM