


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
809 FXZS60 NSTU 040109 AFDPPG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pago Pago AS 209 PM SST Thu Jul 3 2025 .Discussion... A broad line of cumulus clouds just south of the Samoa Islands extends from Cook Islands to Fiji. This feature depicts showers embedded within the trade wind flow. The high pressure system to the southeast producing these trades will eventually push the line of cumulus over the territory tonight, bringing an uptick in showers. Additionally, winds are expected to enhance to near-wind advisory levels (25 mph or greater) tonight through Friday. Gusts of 22 knots has been observed at the local weather office and 19 knots at 1000 mb via the afternoon sounding, which supports this forecast. By Saturday, the high pressure will continue to move southeast. Expect winds to gradually diminish during this time as the high exits the region. Meanwhile, a weak trough may develop in the area, holding numerous showers through the new week. East to southeast winds will prevail through midweek, while the territory lingers in an area between a moist boundary and another high pressure system building near New Zealand. However, the latter high doesn`t appear to be as strong as the one currently dominating over the Islands. && .Marine... Latest wave heights observed at the Aunu`u PacIOOS buoy are around 8 to 10 feet. Although waves were forecast to start building today, the data shows there may be a slight delay in this trend. However, we are still anticipating higher wave heights for the July 4th holiday, reaching 11 to 12 feet due to a nearby-east swell. Hazardous ocean conditions and surfs are likely for the long weekend. Expect waves to subside below advisory levels Sunday as winds and swells finally diminish. && .PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... High Surf Advisory Small Craft Advisory && $$